M249 | Magma
M249 | Magma is a Mil-Spec Grade skin available from the Winter Offensive Weapon Case.
What case is this from?
Trade up from M249 | Magma
10 Mil-Spec Grade skins, this one included, trade up into one Restricted skin from the inputs' collections. From the Winter Offensive Weapon Case, the possible outcomes are:
M249 | Magma: drop odds, wear & source-case value
M249 | Magma is one of 4 Mil-Spec Grade skins in the Winter Offensive Weapon Case. The Winter Offensive Weapon Case pays out Mil-Spec Grade tier 79.923% of the time (1 in 1.3), and DropLabz's model treats every skin in a tier as equally likely, so this skin's base chance is about 19.981% per opening (1 in 5.0).
The base chance is the probability the opening lands on this skin at all, before its wear is rolled and before the 10% StatTrak roll (this skin is StatTrak-eligible). It is not the chance of a particular wear or a specific float.
| Wear | Chance, given this skin | Snapshot price | StatTrak price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 10.0% | $4.16 | $4.44 |
| Minimal Wear | 11.4% | $2.60 | $2.36 |
| Field-Tested | 32.9% | $2.25 | $1.37 |
| Well-Worn | 10.0% | $1.84 | $1.37 |
| Battle-Scarred | 35.7% | $1.65 | $1.30 |
Modeled wear chances assume uniform floats across the skin's range. They are not verified in-game wear rates; see the model assumptions and limitations. Prices are from a Steam Community Market snapshot dated Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC; a dash means no price in the snapshot.
Related skins
More M249 skins · Best CS2 skins under $5 · Curious about the odds of pulling this? See Winter Offensive Weapon Case odds & contents or open it in the simulator.