M4A4 | Neo-Noir
M4A4 | Neo-Noir is a Covert skin available from the Clutch Case.
What case is this from?
Trade up to M4A4 | Neo-Noir
10 Classified skins from the Clutch Case collection can produce it. See every route, its odds and the input float each wear needs.
Trade up from M4A4 | Neo-Noir
5 Covert skins, this one included, trade up into one knife or pair of gloves from the inputs' collections. From the Clutch Case, the possible knife and glove families are:
See every priced Covert → knife and glove contract in knife & glove trade-ups.
M4A4 | Neo-Noir: drop odds, wear & source-case value
M4A4 | Neo-Noir is one of 2 Covert skins in the Clutch Case. The Clutch Case pays out Covert tier 0.639% of the time (1 in 156), and DropLabz's model treats every skin in a tier as equally likely, so this skin's base chance is about 0.320% per opening (1 in 313).
The base chance is the probability the opening lands on this skin at all, before its wear is rolled and before the 10% StatTrak roll (this skin is StatTrak-eligible). It is not the chance of a particular wear or a specific float.
| Wear | Chance, given this skin | Snapshot price | StatTrak price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 7.8% | $183.74 | $248.04 |
| Minimal Wear | 8.9% | $76.73 | $93.16 |
| Field-Tested | 25.6% | $49.34 | $54.30 |
| Well-Worn | 7.8% | $43.28 | $44.61 |
| Battle-Scarred | 50.0% | $37.14 | $38.21 |
Modeled wear chances assume uniform floats across the skin's range. They are not verified in-game wear rates; see the model assumptions and limitations. Prices are from a Steam Community Market snapshot dated Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC; a dash means no price in the snapshot.
Related skins
More M4A4 skins · M4A4 skins under $50 · Best CS2 skins under $50 · Curious about the odds of pulling this? See Clutch Case odds & contents or open it in the simulator.