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Trade-up finder

CS2 knife & glove trade ups

Five Covert skins → one knife or pair of gloves from those skins' case. Ranked by expected profit after Steam fees, with the exact odds of every knife and glove.

Prices as of Oct 27, 2026Steam Community Market averages · snapshot 2026-10-27 10:25 UTC
★ Karambit | Fade
Best output
FN1.5% chance· $1,874.11
Covert → Knife / Gloves
Cost
$375.30
EV
110%
$413.10
Profit
−$16.08
after fee
Win %
37%
to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.60065 outcomesSome thin prices
★ Karambit | Fade
Best output
FN0.62% chance· $1,874.11
Covert → Knife / Gloves
Cost
$354.30
EV
100%
$355.49
Profit
−$45.18
after fee
Win %
32%
to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.84093 outcomesSome thin prices
★ Karambit | Fade
Best output
FN0.62% chance· $1,874.11
Covert → Knife / Gloves
Cost
$311.07
EV
98%
$306.29
Profit
−$44.74
after fee
Win %
29%
to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.780117 outcomesSome thin prices
★ Karambit | Fade
Best output
FN0.62% chance· $1,874.11
Covert → Knife / Gloves
Cost
$257.52
EV
98%
$253.51
Profit
−$37.07
after fee
Win %
24%
to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.66278 outcomesSome thin prices
★ Karambit | Fade
Best output
FN0.62% chance· $1,874.11
Covert → Knife / Gloves
Cost
$276.63
EV
98%
$271.59
Profit
−$40.47
after fee
Win %
27%
to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.51089 outcomesSome thin prices
★ Karambit | Fade
Best output
FN0.62% chance· $1,874.11
Covert → Knife / Gloves
Cost
$272.22
EV
98%
$266.41
Profit
−$40.56
after fee
Win %
24%
to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.78078 outcomesSome thin prices
★ Karambit | Fade
Best output
FN0.92% chance· $1,874.11
Covert → Knife / Gloves
Cost
$422.40
EV
98%
$413.10
Profit
−$63.18
after fee
Win %
34%
to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.840130 outcomesSome thin prices
★ Karambit | Fade
Best output
FN0.92% chance· $1,874.11
Covert → Knife / Gloves
Cost
$423.06
EV
98%
$413.10
Profit
−$63.84
after fee
Win %
34%
to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.840130 outcomesSome thin prices
★ Talon Knife | Doppler
Best outputStatTrak™
FN3.6% chance· $1,374.38
Covert → Knife / Gloves
Cost
$343.60
EV
97%
$333.46
Profit
−$53.63
after fee
Win %
32%
to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.38028 outcomesActive market
★ Karambit | Fade
Best output
FN0.62% chance· $1,874.11
Covert → Knife / Gloves
Cost
$325.29
EV
97%
$314.32
Profit
−$51.97
after fee
Win %
27%
to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.46893 outcomesSome thin prices
★ Karambit | Fade
Best output
FN0.62% chance· $1,874.11
Covert → Knife / Gloves
Cost
$369.24
EV
96%
$356.03
Profit
−$59.65
after fee
Win %
28%
to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.56693 outcomesSome thin prices
★ Talon Knife | Doppler
Best outputStatTrak™
FN3.6% chance· $1,374.38
Covert → Knife / Gloves
Cost
$341.60
EV
96%
$328.99
Profit
−$55.52
after fee
Win %
29%
to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.64328 outcomesSome thin prices

Market-estimated, not verified executable. DropLabz prices contracts from Steam average sale prices; it has no per-listing (float-level) data, so it cannot confirm that listings at these prices and floats exist right now. Contracts whose inputs haven't traded in the last week, or whose price is 2× off its 30-day average, are left out. Outputs with a StatTrak™ or wear the market rarely trades are flagged on each card.

How CS2 trade-up contracts work

Inputs & odds

10 skins of one rarity become 1 skin of the next rarity (Mil-Spec → Restricted → Classified → Covert). Since the October 2025 update, 5 Covert skins can become a knife or gloves from those skins' case. Each input collection gets its share of the odds (inputs from it ÷ total), split evenly across that collection's next-tier skins.

Float math

Every input float is normalized to its own skin's range — (float − min) ÷ (max − min) — and averaged. Each output's float is its min + average × (max − min), so a restricted-range skin like 0.10–0.20 can only land in the wears its range allows.

Prices, fees & freshness

Values are Steam Community Market averages from the snapshot dated on each page. Profit subtracts the ~13% Steam seller fee. StatTrak™ inputs give StatTrak™ outputs (knives only — gloves have no StatTrak™). Map collections outside weapon cases aren't in DropLabz's dataset yet.

Pick the skin you want in the reverse trade-up finder, check any contract in the trade-up calculator, or compare with opening cases on case ROI and knife odds.