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Trade-up finder

Highest chance CS2 trade ups

The same contracts as the main finder, ranked by how often they end in profit after the Steam seller fee rather than by expected value. A high chance to profit usually means a smaller win; each card shows both.

Prices as of Oct 27, 2026Steam Community Market averages · snapshot 2026-10-27 10:25 UTC
SSG 08 | Dragonfire
Best outputStatTrak™
FT20.0% chance· $163.98
Classified → Covert
Cost
$101.62
EV
142%
$144.60
Profit
+$24.12
after fee
Win %
100%
to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.5104 outcomesSome thin prices
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge
Best outputStatTrak™
FT50.0% chance· $122.36
Classified → Covert
Cost
$68.40
EV
154%
$105.27
Profit
+$23.14
after fee
Win %
100%
to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.3802 outcomesActive market
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge
Best outputStatTrak™
FT25.0% chance· $122.36
Classified → Covert
Cost
$62.90
EV
149%
$93.51
Profit
+$18.42
after fee
Win %
100%
to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.3404 outcomesActive market
AK-47 | Aquamarine Revenge
Best outputStatTrak™
FT25.0% chance· $122.36
Classified → Covert
Cost
$73.20
EV
132%
$96.32
Profit
+$10.56
after fee
Win %
100%
to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.3804 outcomesActive market
SSG 08 | Dragonfire
Best outputStatTrak™
FT30.0% chance· $163.98
Classified → Covert
Cost
$119.76
EV
125%
$149.15
Profit
+$9.93
after fee
Win %
100%
to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.5404 outcomesSome thin prices
SSG 08 | Dragonfire
Best outputStatTrak™
FT25.0% chance· $163.98
Classified → Covert
Cost
$119.36
EV
124%
$147.81
Profit
+$9.17
after fee
Win %
100%
to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.5364 outcomesSome thin prices
M4A4 | The Emperor
Best outputStatTrak™
FT30.0% chance· $90.10
Classified → Covert
Cost
$63.66
EV
131%
$83.37
Profit
+$8.84
after fee
Win %
100%
to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.4314 outcomesActive market
AK-47 | Asiimov
Best outputStatTrak™
WW20.0% chance· $103.24
Classified → Covert
Cost
$59.70
EV
131%
$78.27
Profit
+$8.36
after fee
Win %
100%
to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.6104 outcomesSome thin prices
AK-47 | Asiimov
Best outputStatTrak™
BS20.0% chance· $84.73
Classified → Covert
Cost
$62.32
EV
124%
$77.33
Profit
+$4.92
after fee
Win %
100%
to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.7204 outcomesActive market
Desert Eagle | Mecha Industries
Best outputStatTrak™
FT3.3% chance· $17.50
Restricted → Classified
Cost
$5.35
EV
150%
$8.04
Profit
+$1.64
after fee
Win %
100%
to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.5756 outcomesSome thin prices
FAMAS | Bad Trip
Best output
WW50.0% chance· $63.39
Classified → Covert
Cost
$52.70
EV
118%
$62.28
Profit
+$1.46
after fee
Win %
100%
to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.4502 outcomesActive market
XM1014 | Ziggy
Best output
FT20.0% chance· $1.43
Mil-Spec → Restricted
Cost
$1.00
EV
135%
$1.35
Profit
+$0.17
after fee
Win %
100%
to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.4505 outcomesActive market

Market-estimated, not verified executable. DropLabz prices contracts from Steam average sale prices; it has no per-listing (float-level) data, so it cannot confirm that listings at these prices and floats exist right now. Contracts whose inputs haven't traded in the last week, or whose price is 2× off its 30-day average, are left out. Outputs with a StatTrak™ or wear the market rarely trades are flagged on each card.

How CS2 trade-up contracts work

Inputs & odds

10 skins of one rarity become 1 skin of the next rarity (Mil-Spec → Restricted → Classified → Covert). Since the October 2025 update, 5 Covert skins can become a knife or gloves from those skins' case. Each input collection gets its share of the odds (inputs from it ÷ total), split evenly across that collection's next-tier skins.

Float math

Every input float is normalized to its own skin's range — (float − min) ÷ (max − min) — and averaged. Each output's float is its min + average × (max − min), so a restricted-range skin like 0.10–0.20 can only land in the wears its range allows.

Prices, fees & freshness

Values are Steam Community Market averages from the snapshot dated on each page. Profit subtracts the ~13% Steam seller fee. StatTrak™ inputs give StatTrak™ outputs (knives only — gloves have no StatTrak™). Map collections outside weapon cases aren't in DropLabz's dataset yet.

Pick the skin you want in the reverse trade-up finder, check any contract in the trade-up calculator, or compare with opening cases on case ROI and knife odds.