- Cost
- $243.43
- EV
- 25%
- $60.13
- Profit
- −$191.14
- after fee
- Win %
- 0%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.077 (needs < 0.078)7 outcomesActive market
Reverse trade-up finder
Trade up to AK-47 | The Outsiders
10 Restricted skins from the Gallery Case collection can become AK-47 | The Outsiders. Pick a wear to see every realistic route, its odds, cost and the input float it needs.
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026Steam Community Market averages · snapshot 2026-10-27 10:25 UTC
Factory New AK-47 | The Outsiders needs an average normalized input float below 0.0778 (output float 0.000–0.070). Best chance per contract: 30.0%.
- Cost
- $58.56
- EV
- 49%
- $28.68
- Profit
- −$33.62
- after fee
- Win %
- 10%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.077 (needs < 0.078)6 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $59.82
- EV
- 48%
- $28.49
- Profit
- −$35.04
- after fee
- Win %
- 10%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.077 (needs < 0.078)6 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $62.27
- EV
- 54%
- $33.52
- Profit
- −$33.13
- after fee
- Win %
- 10%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.077 (needs < 0.078)6 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $78.79
- EV
- 73%
- $57.12
- Profit
- −$29.12
- after fee
- Win %
- 33%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.077 (needs < 0.078)6 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $51.93
- EV
- 49%
- $25.40
- Profit
- −$29.84
- after fee
- Win %
- 3%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.078 (needs < 0.078)6 outcomesActive market
Required input float for each AK-47 | The Outsiders wear
| Wear | Output float | Avg normalized input float | Cheapest route | Best chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.000–0.070 | < 0.0778 | $51.93 | 30.0% |
| Minimal Wear | 0.070–0.150 | ≥ 0.0778 and < 0.1667 | no priced route | — |
| Field-Tested | 0.150–0.380 | ≥ 0.1667 and < 0.4222 | $6.29 | 20.0% |
| Well-Worn | 0.380–0.450 | ≥ 0.4222 and < 0.5000 | no priced route | — |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.450–0.900 | ≥ 0.5000 and any | $5.02 | 33.3% |
The average is over every input's float normalized to its own range. Output float = 0.00 + average × 0.90.
Other trade-up targets in this collection
How CS2 trade-up contracts work
Inputs & odds
10 skins of one rarity become 1 skin of the next rarity (Mil-Spec → Restricted → Classified → Covert). Since the October 2025 update, 5 Covert skins can become a knife or gloves from those skins' case. Each input collection gets its share of the odds (inputs from it ÷ total), split evenly across that collection's next-tier skins.
Float math
Every input float is normalized to its own skin's range — (float − min) ÷ (max − min) — and averaged. Each output's float is its min + average × (max − min), so a restricted-range skin like 0.10–0.20 can only land in the wears its range allows.
Prices, fees & freshness
Values are Steam Community Market averages from the snapshot dated on each page. Profit subtracts the ~13% Steam seller fee. StatTrak™ inputs give StatTrak™ outputs (knives only — gloves have no StatTrak™). Map collections outside weapon cases aren't in DropLabz's dataset yet.
Pick the skin you want in the reverse trade-up finder, check any contract in the trade-up calculator, or compare with opening cases on case ROI and knife odds.