- Cost
- $342.63
- EV
- 74%
- $253.40
- Profit
- −$122.28
- after fee
- Win %
- 17%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.240 (needs < 0.240)104 outcomesActive market
Knife finish
Talon Knife | Slaughter: price, cases and trade-ups
The Talon Knife | Slaughter starts at $640.57 on the Steam Market and drops from 2 cases, at best 1 in 20,332 per opening. It can also be made by trading up 5 Covert skins from one of those cases; the routes are below.
Price from
$640.57
StatTrak™ Field-Tested
Drops from
2 cases
Horizon Case
Best drop odds
1 in 20,332
0.0049% per opening
Avg cost to unbox
$368,822.48
in the Horizon Case
Talon Knife | Slaughter price by wear
| Wear | Steam price | StatTrak™ price | Chance of this wear |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | $1,082.58 | $933.29 | 24.0% |
| Minimal Wear | $801.52 | $868.28 | 32.0% |
| Field-Tested | $725.41 | $640.57 | 44.0% |
Steam Community Market averages from the csgotrader.app steam.json (Steam Community Market) snapshot, market data updated Oct 27, 2026; a dash means no usable price. Chance of each wear is its share of the finish's float range, which is how a fresh drop's wear is rolled. Buying the cheapest one costs $640.57; unboxing this exact finish costs about $368,822.48 in openings on average.
Cases that drop the Talon Knife | Slaughter
| Case | Chance of this finish | Finishes in pool | Open cost | Avg cost to unbox |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horizon Case | 0.0049% · 1 in 20,332 | 52 | $18.14 | $368,822.48 |
| Danger Zone Case | 0.0049% · 1 in 20,332 | 52 | $22.53 | $458,079.96 |
The chance is the case's gold odds split evenly across every knife finish in its pool, before wear and the 10% StatTrak™ roll. Your chance over many openings is on the knife chance calculator; every case is compared on knife odds by case.
Trade up to the Talon Knife | Slaughter
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026Steam Community Market averages · snapshot 2026-10-27 10:25 UTC
Factory New ★ Talon Knife | Slaughter needs an average normalized input float below 0.2400 (output float 0.010–0.070). Best chance per contract: 1.9%.
- Cost
- $521.07
- EV
- 78%
- $405.87
- Profit
- −$168.14
- after fee
- Win %
- 25%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.239 (needs < 0.240)65 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $296.55
- EV
- 72%
- $212.77
- Profit
- −$111.53
- after fee
- Win %
- 13%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.240 (needs < 0.240)65 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $262.48
- EV
- 53%
- $140.07
- Profit
- −$140.68
- after fee
- Win %
- 6%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.240 (needs < 0.240)65 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $263.39
- EV
- 66%
- $174.63
- Profit
- −$111.53
- after fee
- Win %
- 18%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.231 (needs < 0.240)65 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $291.75
- EV
- 72%
- $209.93
- Profit
- −$109.20
- after fee
- Win %
- 15%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.231 (needs < 0.240)76 outcomesActive market
Required input float for each ★ Talon Knife | Slaughter wear
| Wear | Output float | Avg normalized input float | Cheapest route | Best chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.010–0.070 | < 0.2400 | $262.48 | 1.9% |
| Minimal Wear | 0.070–0.150 | ≥ 0.2400 and < 0.5600 | $199.85 | 1.9% |
| Field-Tested | 0.150–0.260 | ≥ 0.5600 and any | $196.85 | 1.9% |
| Well-Worn | Not possible — outside this skin's 0.01–0.26 float range | |||
| Battle-Scarred | Not possible — outside this skin's 0.01–0.26 float range | |||
The average is over every input's float normalized to its own range. Output float = 0.01 + average × 0.25.
Other trade-up targets in this collection
★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened★ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web★ Navaja Knife | Fade★ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT★ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh★ Navaja Knife | Scorched★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter★ Navaja Knife | Stained★ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked
How CS2 trade-up contracts work
Inputs & odds
10 skins of one rarity become 1 skin of the next rarity (Mil-Spec → Restricted → Classified → Covert). Since the October 2025 update, 5 Covert skins can become a knife or gloves from those skins' case. Each input collection gets its share of the odds (inputs from it ÷ total), split evenly across that collection's next-tier skins.
Float math
Every input float is normalized to its own skin's range — (float − min) ÷ (max − min) — and averaged. Each output's float is its min + average × (max − min), so a restricted-range skin like 0.10–0.20 can only land in the wears its range allows.
Prices, fees & freshness
Values are Steam Community Market averages from the snapshot dated on each page. Profit subtracts the ~13% Steam seller fee. StatTrak™ inputs give StatTrak™ outputs (knives only — gloves have no StatTrak™). Map collections outside weapon cases aren't in DropLabz's dataset yet.
Pick the skin you want in the reverse trade-up finder, check any contract in the trade-up calculator, or compare with opening cases on case ROI and knife odds.