- Cost
- $296.49
- EV
- 80%
- $238.30
- Profit
- −$89.27
- after fee
- Win %
- 19%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.432 (needs < 0.432)104 outcomesActive market
Knife finish
Talon Knife | Urban Masked: price, cases and trade-ups
The Talon Knife | Urban Masked starts at $298.40 on the Steam Market and drops from 2 cases, at best 1 in 20,332 per opening. It can also be made by trading up 5 Covert skins from one of those cases; the routes are below.
Price from
$298.40
Battle-Scarred
Drops from
2 cases
Horizon Case
Best drop odds
1 in 20,332
0.0049% per opening
Avg cost to unbox
$368,822.48
in the Horizon Case
Talon Knife | Urban Masked price by wear
| Wear | Steam price | StatTrak™ price | Chance of this wear |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | $435.02 | — | 1.4% |
| Minimal Wear | $393.19 | $352.11 | 10.8% |
| Field-Tested | $305.45 | $356.49 | 31.1% |
| Well-Worn | $320.01 | $326.47 | 9.5% |
| Battle-Scarred | $298.40 | $334.58 | 47.3% |
Steam Community Market averages from the csgotrader.app steam.json (Steam Community Market) snapshot, market data updated Oct 27, 2026; a dash means no usable price. Chance of each wear is its share of the finish's float range, which is how a fresh drop's wear is rolled. Buying the cheapest one costs $298.40; unboxing this exact finish costs about $368,822.48 in openings on average.
Cases that drop the Talon Knife | Urban Masked
| Case | Chance of this finish | Finishes in pool | Open cost | Avg cost to unbox |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Horizon Case | 0.0049% · 1 in 20,332 | 52 | $18.14 | $368,822.48 |
| Danger Zone Case | 0.0049% · 1 in 20,332 | 52 | $22.53 | $458,079.96 |
The chance is the case's gold odds split evenly across every knife finish in its pool, before wear and the 10% StatTrak™ roll. Your chance over many openings is on the knife chance calculator; every case is compared on knife odds by case.
Trade up to the Talon Knife | Urban Masked
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026Steam Community Market averages · snapshot 2026-10-27 10:25 UTC
Field-Tested ★ Talon Knife | Urban Masked needs an average normalized input float of at least 0.1216 and below 0.4324 (output float 0.150–0.380). Best chance per contract: 1.9%.
- Cost
- $340.29
- EV
- 92%
- $314.45
- Profit
- −$66.86
- after fee
- Win %
- 28%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.420 (needs < 0.432)117 outcomesSome thin prices
- Cost
- $209.59
- EV
- 65%
- $135.47
- Profit
- −$91.79
- after fee
- Win %
- 14%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.420 (needs < 0.432)65 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $232.07
- EV
- 89%
- $206.91
- Profit
- −$52.15
- after fee
- Win %
- 20%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.420 (needs < 0.432)76 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $240.34
- EV
- 86%
- $206.91
- Profit
- −$60.42
- after fee
- Win %
- 20%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.422 (needs < 0.432)76 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $1,363
- EV
- 68%
- $920.43
- Profit
- −$562.98
- after fee
- Win %
- 30%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.420 (needs < 0.432)76 outcomesThin / unstable prices
Required input float for each ★ Talon Knife | Urban Masked wear
| Wear | Output float | Avg normalized input float | Cheapest route | Best chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.060–0.070 | < 0.0135 | no priced route | — |
| Minimal Wear | 0.070–0.150 | ≥ 0.0135 and < 0.1216 | no priced route | — |
| Field-Tested | 0.150–0.380 | ≥ 0.1216 and < 0.4324 | $209.59 | 1.9% |
| Well-Worn | 0.380–0.450 | ≥ 0.4324 and < 0.5270 | no priced route | — |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.450–0.800 | ≥ 0.5270 and any | $196.85 | 1.9% |
The average is over every input's float normalized to its own range. Output float = 0.06 + average × 0.74.
Other trade-up targets in this collection
★ Navaja Knife | Blue Steel★ Navaja Knife | Boreal Forest★ Navaja Knife | Case Hardened★ Navaja Knife | Crimson Web★ Navaja Knife | Fade★ Navaja Knife | Forest DDPAT★ Navaja Knife | Night Stripe★ Navaja Knife | Safari Mesh★ Navaja Knife | Scorched★ Navaja Knife | Slaughter★ Navaja Knife | Stained★ Navaja Knife | Urban Masked
How CS2 trade-up contracts work
Inputs & odds
10 skins of one rarity become 1 skin of the next rarity (Mil-Spec → Restricted → Classified → Covert). Since the October 2025 update, 5 Covert skins can become a knife or gloves from those skins' case. Each input collection gets its share of the odds (inputs from it ÷ total), split evenly across that collection's next-tier skins.
Float math
Every input float is normalized to its own skin's range — (float − min) ÷ (max − min) — and averaged. Each output's float is its min + average × (max − min), so a restricted-range skin like 0.10–0.20 can only land in the wears its range allows.
Prices, fees & freshness
Values are Steam Community Market averages from the snapshot dated on each page. Profit subtracts the ~13% Steam seller fee. StatTrak™ inputs give StatTrak™ outputs (knives only — gloves have no StatTrak™). Map collections outside weapon cases aren't in DropLabz's dataset yet.
Pick the skin you want in the reverse trade-up finder, check any contract in the trade-up calculator, or compare with opening cases on case ROI and knife odds.