Case comparison
Kilowatt Case vs Revolution Case
Cost, modeled expected return and ROI, gold odds and pool contents for both cases, using a Steam Community Market snapshot dated Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC.
| Released | 2024-01-16 | 2023-01-31 |
|---|---|---|
| Case price | $0.24 | $0.38 |
| Key price | $2.50* | $2.50* |
| Total open cost | $2.74 | $2.88 |
| Expected return | $1.24 | $1.30 |
| Modeled ROI | 45.2% | 45.2% |
| Gold odds | 0.256% · 1 in 391 | 0.256% · 1 in 391 |
| P(knife) | 0.256% | — |
| P(gloves) | — | 0.256% |
| Rare-special items | 13 (13 knife · 0 glove) | 24 (0 knife · 24 glove) |
| Knife / glove families | Kukri Knife | Driver Gloves, Hand Wraps, Hydra Gloves, Moto Gloves, Specialist Gloves, Sport Gloves |
| Mil-Spec skins | 7 | 7 |
| Restricted skins | 5 | 5 |
| Classified skins | 3 | 3 |
| Covert skins | 2 | 2 |
| Highest-priced outcome | ★ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web (Factory New) — $495.42 | ★ Sport Gloves | Vice (Minimal Wear) — $1,854.12 |
* Key price is the $2.50 in-game store price because the key has no Steam market listing.
What the numbers show
- Based on DropLabz's current price snapshot, Revolution Case has the higher modeled ROI (45.2% vs 45.2%). Both are below 100%, meaning each has a negative modeled expected value.
- Revolution Case also has the higher modeled expected return per opening ($1.30 vs $1.24).
- Kilowatt Case costs less to open: $2.74 (case + key) against $2.88 for Revolution Case.
- Both have the same gold (rare-special) chance, 0.256% (1 in 391), since both carry the same rarity tiers.
- Kilowatt Case's rare-special pool has knives only (13 items); Revolution Case's has gloves only (24 items).
This is a description of modeled figures, not a recommendation. ROI is expected return ÷ opening cost under DropLabz's rarity model (equal weighting within each tier, 10% StatTrak on eligible skins); unpriced outcomes are excluded from expected return. Prices come from a snapshot dated Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC.
Kilowatt Case
Revolution Case
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