MP7 | Nemesis
MP7 | Nemesis is a Classified skin available from the Falchion Case.
What case is this from?
Trade up to MP7 | Nemesis
10 Restricted skins from the Falchion Case collection can produce it. See every route, its odds and the input float each wear needs.
Trade up from MP7 | Nemesis
10 Classified skins, this one included, trade up into one Covert skin from the inputs' collections. From the Falchion Case, the possible outcomes are:
MP7 | Nemesis: drop odds, wear & source-case value
MP7 | Nemesis is one of 3 Classified skins in the Falchion Case. The Falchion Case pays out Classified tier 3.197% of the time (1 in 31.3), and DropLabz's model treats every skin in a tier as equally likely, so this skin's base chance is about 1.066% per opening (1 in 93.8).
The base chance is the probability the opening lands on this skin at all, before its wear is rolled and before the 10% StatTrak roll (this skin is StatTrak-eligible). It is not the chance of a particular wear or a specific float.
| Wear | Chance, given this skin | Snapshot price | StatTrak price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 21.9% | $31.73 | $35.55 |
| Minimal Wear | 25.0% | $9.87 | $23.37 |
| Field-Tested | 53.1% | $9.29 | $16.86 |
Modeled wear chances assume uniform floats across the skin's range. They are not verified in-game wear rates; see the model assumptions and limitations. Prices are from a Steam Community Market snapshot dated Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC; a dash means no price in the snapshot.
Related skins
More MP7 skins · Best CS2 skins under $10 · Curious about the odds of pulling this? See Falchion Case odds & contents or open it in the simulator.