MP9 | Starlight Protector
MP9 | Starlight Protector is a Covert skin available from the Dreams & Nightmares Case.
What case is this from?
Trade up to MP9 | Starlight Protector
10 Classified skins from the Dreams & Nightmares Case collection can produce it. See every route, its odds and the input float each wear needs.
Trade up from MP9 | Starlight Protector
5 Covert skins, this one included, trade up into one knife or pair of gloves from the inputs' collections. From the Dreams & Nightmares Case, the possible knife and glove families are:
See every priced Covert → knife and glove contract in knife & glove trade-ups.
MP9 | Starlight Protector: drop odds, wear & source-case value
MP9 | Starlight Protector is one of 2 Covert skins in the Dreams & Nightmares Case. The Dreams & Nightmares Case pays out Covert tier 0.639% of the time (1 in 156), and DropLabz's model treats every skin in a tier as equally likely, so this skin's base chance is about 0.320% per opening (1 in 313).
The base chance is the probability the opening lands on this skin at all, before its wear is rolled and before the 10% StatTrak roll (this skin is StatTrak-eligible). It is not the chance of a particular wear or a specific float.
| Wear | Chance, given this skin | Snapshot price | StatTrak price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 8.8% | $133.86 | $131.62 |
| Minimal Wear | 10.0% | $101.29 | $100.46 |
| Field-Tested | 28.7% | $89.91 | $88.68 |
| Well-Worn | 8.8% | $90.43 | $93.22 |
| Battle-Scarred | 43.8% | $85.94 | $90.80 |
Modeled wear chances assume uniform floats across the skin's range. They are not verified in-game wear rates; see the model assumptions and limitations. Prices are from a Steam Community Market snapshot dated Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC; a dash means no price in the snapshot.
Related skins
More MP9 skins · Best CS2 skins under $100 · Curious about the odds of pulling this? See Dreams & Nightmares Case odds & contents or open it in the simulator.