- Cost
- $239.24
- EV
- 49%
- $116.93
- Profit
- −$137.57
- after fee
- Win %
- 0%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.086 (needs < 0.087)2 outcomesActive market
Reverse trade-up finder
Trade up to MP9 | Starlight Protector
10 Classified skins from the Dreams & Nightmares Case collection can become MP9 | Starlight Protector. Pick a wear to see every realistic route, its odds, cost and the input float it needs.
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026Steam Community Market averages · snapshot 2026-10-27 10:25 UTC
Factory New MP9 | Starlight Protector needs an average normalized input float below 0.0875 (output float 0.000–0.070). Best chance per contract: 50.0%.
- Cost
- $199.70
- EV
- 58%
- $114.91
- Profit
- −$99.78
- after fee
- Win %
- 0%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.087 (needs < 0.087)4 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $233.15
- EV
- 55%
- $128.59
- Profit
- −$121.33
- after fee
- Win %
- 0%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.087 (needs < 0.087)4 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $305.91
- EV
- 70%
- $213.66
- Profit
- −$120.12
- after fee
- Win %
- 0%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.087 (needs < 0.087)4 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $254.65
- EV
- 66%
- $166.81
- Profit
- −$109.60
- after fee
- Win %
- 0%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.086 (needs < 0.087)4 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $276.32
- EV
- 80%
- $222.14
- Profit
- −$83.15
- after fee
- Win %
- 45%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.085 (needs < 0.087)4 outcomesActive market
Required input float for each MP9 | Starlight Protector wear
| Wear | Output float | Avg normalized input float | Cheapest route | Best chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.000–0.070 | < 0.0875 | $199.70 | 50.0% |
| Minimal Wear | 0.070–0.150 | ≥ 0.0875 and < 0.1875 | no priced route | — |
| Field-Tested | 0.150–0.380 | ≥ 0.1875 and < 0.4750 | $48.09 | 50.0% |
| Well-Worn | 0.380–0.450 | ≥ 0.4750 and < 0.5625 | no priced route | — |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.450–0.800 | ≥ 0.5625 and any | no priced route | — |
The average is over every input's float normalized to its own range. Output float = 0.00 + average × 0.80.
Other trade-up targets in this collection
How CS2 trade-up contracts work
Inputs & odds
10 skins of one rarity become 1 skin of the next rarity (Mil-Spec → Restricted → Classified → Covert). Since the October 2025 update, 5 Covert skins can become a knife or gloves from those skins' case. Each input collection gets its share of the odds (inputs from it ÷ total), split evenly across that collection's next-tier skins.
Float math
Every input float is normalized to its own skin's range — (float − min) ÷ (max − min) — and averaged. Each output's float is its min + average × (max − min), so a restricted-range skin like 0.10–0.20 can only land in the wears its range allows.
Prices, fees & freshness
Values are Steam Community Market averages from the snapshot dated on each page. Profit subtracts the ~13% Steam seller fee. StatTrak™ inputs give StatTrak™ outputs (knives only — gloves have no StatTrak™). Map collections outside weapon cases aren't in DropLabz's dataset yet.
Pick the skin you want in the reverse trade-up finder, check any contract in the trade-up calculator, or compare with opening cases on case ROI and knife odds.