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Mil-Spec Grade

Negev | Terrain

Negev | Terrain is a Mil-Spec Grade skin available from the Operation Phoenix Weapon Case.

Negev | Terrain

What case is this from?

Weapon
Finish
Terrain
Rarity
Mil-Spec Grade
StatTrak
Available
Float range
0.00 – 0.45

Trade up from Negev | Terrain

10 Mil-Spec Grade skins, this one included, trade up into one Restricted skin from the inputs' collections. From the Operation Phoenix Weapon Case, the possible outcomes are:

Negev | Terrain: drop odds, wear & source-case value

Negev | Terrain is one of 4 Mil-Spec Grade skins in the Operation Phoenix Weapon Case. The Operation Phoenix Weapon Case pays out Mil-Spec Grade tier 79.923% of the time (1 in 1.3), and DropLabz's model treats every skin in a tier as equally likely, so this skin's base chance is about 19.981% per opening (1 in 5.0).

Base chance
19.981%
1 in 5.0 · before wear & StatTrak
Mil-Spec tier odds
79.923%
4 skins share it
Case open cost
$21.95
Operation Phoenix Weapon Case
Case modeled ROI
20.6%
EV $4.51 (−79.4%)

The base chance is the probability the opening lands on this skin at all, before its wear is rolled and before the 10% StatTrak roll (this skin is StatTrak-eligible). It is not the chance of a particular wear or a specific float.

Possible wears for float range 0.00 – 0.45
WearChance, given this skinSnapshot priceStatTrak price
Factory New15.6%$1.10$1.91
Minimal Wear17.8%$0.81$1.08
Field-Tested51.1%$0.97$0.74
Well-Worn15.6%$0.80$0.89

Modeled wear chances assume uniform floats across the skin's range. They are not verified in-game wear rates; see the model assumptions and limitations. Prices are from a Steam Community Market snapshot dated Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC; a dash means no price in the snapshot.

More Negev skins · Best CS2 skins under $1 · Curious about the odds of pulling this? See Operation Phoenix Weapon Case odds & contents or open it in the simulator.