- Cost
- $9.46
- EV
- 67%
- $6.39
- Profit
- −$3.91
- after fee
- Win %
- 25%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.181 (needs < 0.184)4 outcomesActive market
Reverse trade-up finder
Trade up to USP-S | Guardian
10 Mil-Spec Grade skins from the Operation Phoenix Weapon Case collection can become USP-S | Guardian. Pick a wear to see every realistic route, its odds, cost and the input float it needs.
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026Steam Community Market averages · snapshot 2026-10-27 10:25 UTC
Factory New USP-S | Guardian needs an average normalized input float below 0.1842 (output float 0.000–0.070). Best chance per contract: 25.0%.
- Cost
- $100.34
- EV
- 61%
- $61.44
- Profit
- −$46.91
- after fee
- Win %
- 40%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.182 (needs < 0.184)7 outcomesSome thin prices
- Cost
- $2.78
- EV
- 49%
- $1.37
- Profit
- −$1.59
- after fee
- Win %
- 10%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.183 (needs < 0.184)9 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $2.88
- EV
- 54%
- $1.55
- Profit
- −$1.54
- after fee
- Win %
- 8%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.181 (needs < 0.184)9 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $2.88
- EV
- 54%
- $1.56
- Profit
- −$1.52
- after fee
- Win %
- 8%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.183 (needs < 0.184)9 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $2.88
- EV
- 57%
- $1.64
- Profit
- −$1.46
- after fee
- Win %
- 8%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.183 (needs < 0.184)9 outcomesActive market
Required input float for each USP-S | Guardian wear
| Wear | Output float | Avg normalized input float | Cheapest route | Best chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.000–0.070 | < 0.1842 | $2.78 | 25.0% |
| Minimal Wear | 0.070–0.150 | ≥ 0.1842 and < 0.3947 | $3.04 | 2.5% |
| Field-Tested | 0.150–0.380 | ≥ 0.3947 and any | $1.52 | 25.0% |
| Well-Worn | Not possible — outside this skin's 0.00–0.38 float range | |||
| Battle-Scarred | Not possible — outside this skin's 0.00–0.38 float range | |||
The average is over every input's float normalized to its own range. Output float = 0.00 + average × 0.38.
Other trade-up targets in this collection
How CS2 trade-up contracts work
Inputs & odds
10 skins of one rarity become 1 skin of the next rarity (Mil-Spec → Restricted → Classified → Covert). Since the October 2025 update, 5 Covert skins can become a knife or gloves from those skins' case. Each input collection gets its share of the odds (inputs from it ÷ total), split evenly across that collection's next-tier skins.
Float math
Every input float is normalized to its own skin's range — (float − min) ÷ (max − min) — and averaged. Each output's float is its min + average × (max − min), so a restricted-range skin like 0.10–0.20 can only land in the wears its range allows.
Prices, fees & freshness
Values are Steam Community Market averages from the snapshot dated on each page. Profit subtracts the ~13% Steam seller fee. StatTrak™ inputs give StatTrak™ outputs (knives only — gloves have no StatTrak™). Map collections outside weapon cases aren't in DropLabz's dataset yet.
Pick the skin you want in the reverse trade-up finder, check any contract in the trade-up calculator, or compare with opening cases on case ROI and knife odds.