Nova | Graphite
Nova | Graphite is a Restricted skin available from the CS:GO Weapon Case 2.
What case is this from?
Trade up to Nova | Graphite
10 Mil-Spec Grade skins from the CS:GO Weapon Case 2 collection can produce it. See every route, its odds and the input float each wear needs.
Trade up from Nova | Graphite
10 Restricted skins, this one included, trade up into one Classified skin from the inputs' collections. From the CS:GO Weapon Case 2, the possible outcomes are:
Nova | Graphite: drop odds, wear & source-case value
Nova | Graphite is one of 4 Restricted skins in the CS:GO Weapon Case 2. The CS:GO Weapon Case 2 pays out Restricted tier 15.985% of the time (1 in 6.3), and DropLabz's model treats every skin in a tier as equally likely, so this skin's base chance is about 3.996% per opening (1 in 25.0).
The base chance is the probability the opening lands on this skin at all, before its wear is rolled and before the 10% StatTrak roll (this skin is StatTrak-eligible). It is not the chance of a particular wear or a specific float.
| Wear | Chance, given this skin | Snapshot price | StatTrak price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 58.3% | $15.86 | $31.71 |
| Minimal Wear | 41.7% | $15.62 | $27.09 |
Modeled wear chances assume uniform floats across the skin's range. They are not verified in-game wear rates; see the model assumptions and limitations. Prices are from a Steam Community Market snapshot dated Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC; a dash means no price in the snapshot.
Related skins
More Nova skins · Best CS2 skins under $25 · Curious about the odds of pulling this? See CS:GO Weapon Case 2 odds & contents or open it in the simulator.