P250 | Supernova
P250 | Supernova is a Restricted skin available from the Operation Breakout Weapon Case.
What case is this from?
Trade up to P250 | Supernova
10 Mil-Spec Grade skins from the Operation Breakout Weapon Case collection can produce it. See every route, its odds and the input float each wear needs.
Trade up from P250 | Supernova
10 Restricted skins, this one included, trade up into one Classified skin from the inputs' collections. From the Operation Breakout Weapon Case, the possible outcomes are:
P250 | Supernova: drop odds, wear & source-case value
P250 | Supernova is one of 4 Restricted skins in the Operation Breakout Weapon Case. The Operation Breakout Weapon Case pays out Restricted tier 15.985% of the time (1 in 6.3), and DropLabz's model treats every skin in a tier as equally likely, so this skin's base chance is about 3.996% per opening (1 in 25.0).
The base chance is the probability the opening lands on this skin at all, before its wear is rolled and before the 10% StatTrak roll (this skin is StatTrak-eligible). It is not the chance of a particular wear or a specific float.
| Wear | Chance, given this skin | Snapshot price | StatTrak price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 17.5% | $9.76 | $6.73 |
| Minimal Wear | 20.0% | $3.03 | $3.17 |
| Field-Tested | 57.5% | $2.75 | $2.73 |
| Well-Worn | 5.0% | $2.60 | $4.75 |
Modeled wear chances assume uniform floats across the skin's range. They are not verified in-game wear rates; see the model assumptions and limitations. Prices are from a Steam Community Market snapshot dated Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC; a dash means no price in the snapshot.
Related skins
More P250 skins · P250 skins under $5 · Best CS2 skins under $5 · Curious about the odds of pulling this? See Operation Breakout Weapon Case odds & contents or open it in the simulator.