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Restricted

Nova | Koi

Nova | Koi is a Restricted skin available from the Operation Breakout Weapon Case.

Nova | Koi

What case is this from?

Weapon
Finish
Koi
Rarity
Restricted
StatTrak
Available
Float range
0.00 – 0.30

Trade up to Nova | Koi

10 Mil-Spec Grade skins from the Operation Breakout Weapon Case collection can produce it. See every route, its odds and the input float each wear needs.

Trade Up To This Skin

Trade up from Nova | Koi

10 Restricted skins, this one included, trade up into one Classified skin from the inputs' collections. From the Operation Breakout Weapon Case, the possible outcomes are:

Nova | Koi: drop odds, wear & source-case value

Nova | Koi is one of 4 Restricted skins in the Operation Breakout Weapon Case. The Operation Breakout Weapon Case pays out Restricted tier 15.985% of the time (1 in 6.3), and DropLabz's model treats every skin in a tier as equally likely, so this skin's base chance is about 3.996% per opening (1 in 25.0).

Base chance
3.996%
1 in 25.0 · before wear & StatTrak
Restricted tier odds
15.985%
4 skins share it
Case open cost
$39.42
Operation Breakout Weapon Case
Case modeled ROI
16.5%
EV $6.51 (−83.5%)

The base chance is the probability the opening lands on this skin at all, before its wear is rolled and before the 10% StatTrak roll (this skin is StatTrak-eligible). It is not the chance of a particular wear or a specific float.

Possible wears for float range 0.00 – 0.30
WearChance, given this skinSnapshot priceStatTrak price
Factory New23.3%$5.54$5.86
Minimal Wear26.7%$2.93$3.04
Field-Tested50.0%$2.95$2.73

Modeled wear chances assume uniform floats across the skin's range. They are not verified in-game wear rates; see the model assumptions and limitations. Prices are from a Steam Community Market snapshot dated Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC; a dash means no price in the snapshot.

More Nova skins · Best CS2 skins under $5 · Curious about the odds of pulling this? See Operation Breakout Weapon Case odds & contents or open it in the simulator.