XM1014 | Tranquility
XM1014 | Tranquility is a Classified skin available from the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case.
What case is this from?
Trade up to XM1014 | Tranquility
10 Restricted skins from the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case collection can produce it. See every route, its odds and the input float each wear needs.
Trade up from XM1014 | Tranquility
10 Classified skins, this one included, trade up into one Covert skin from the inputs' collections. From the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case, the possible outcomes are:
XM1014 | Tranquility: drop odds, wear & source-case value
XM1014 | Tranquility is one of 3 Classified skins in the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case. The Operation Vanguard Weapon Case pays out Classified tier 3.197% of the time (1 in 31.3), and DropLabz's model treats every skin in a tier as equally likely, so this skin's base chance is about 1.066% per opening (1 in 93.8).
The base chance is the probability the opening lands on this skin at all, before its wear is rolled and before the 10% StatTrak roll (this skin is StatTrak-eligible). It is not the chance of a particular wear or a specific float.
| Wear | Chance, given this skin | Snapshot price | StatTrak price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 14.0% | $46.60 | $111.33 |
| Minimal Wear | 16.0% | $18.02 | $64.42 |
| Field-Tested | 46.0% | $12.29 | $33.81 |
| Well-Worn | 14.0% | $12.38 | $31.81 |
| Battle-Scarred | 10.0% | $11.90 | $38.67 |
Modeled wear chances assume uniform floats across the skin's range. They are not verified in-game wear rates; see the model assumptions and limitations. Prices are from a Steam Community Market snapshot dated Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC; a dash means no price in the snapshot.
Related skins
More XM1014 skins · Best CS2 skins under $25 · Curious about the odds of pulling this? See Operation Vanguard Weapon Case odds & contents or open it in the simulator.