G3SG1 | Murky
G3SG1 | Murky is a Mil-Spec Grade skin available from the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case.
What case is this from?
Trade up from G3SG1 | Murky
10 Mil-Spec Grade skins, this one included, trade up into one Restricted skin from the inputs' collections. From the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case, the possible outcomes are:
G3SG1 | Murky: drop odds, wear & source-case value
G3SG1 | Murky is one of 5 Mil-Spec Grade skins in the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case. The Operation Vanguard Weapon Case pays out Mil-Spec Grade tier 79.923% of the time (1 in 1.3), and DropLabz's model treats every skin in a tier as equally likely, so this skin's base chance is about 15.985% per opening (1 in 6.3).
The base chance is the probability the opening lands on this skin at all, before its wear is rolled and before the 10% StatTrak roll (this skin is StatTrak-eligible). It is not the chance of a particular wear or a specific float.
| Wear | Chance, given this skin | Snapshot price | StatTrak price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 28.0% | $5.46 | $2.47 |
| Minimal Wear | 32.0% | $1.29 | $1.88 |
| Field-Tested | 40.0% | $1.01 | $1.82 |
Modeled wear chances assume uniform floats across the skin's range. They are not verified in-game wear rates; see the model assumptions and limitations. Prices are from a Steam Community Market snapshot dated Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC; a dash means no price in the snapshot.
Related skins
More G3SG1 skins · Best CS2 skins under $5 · Curious about the odds of pulling this? See Operation Vanguard Weapon Case odds & contents or open it in the simulator.