MAG-7 | Firestarter
MAG-7 | Firestarter is a Mil-Spec Grade skin available from the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case.
What case is this from?
Trade up from MAG-7 | Firestarter
10 Mil-Spec Grade skins, this one included, trade up into one Restricted skin from the inputs' collections. From the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case, the possible outcomes are:
MAG-7 | Firestarter: drop odds, wear & source-case value
MAG-7 | Firestarter is one of 5 Mil-Spec Grade skins in the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case. The Operation Vanguard Weapon Case pays out Mil-Spec Grade tier 79.923% of the time (1 in 1.3), and DropLabz's model treats every skin in a tier as equally likely, so this skin's base chance is about 15.985% per opening (1 in 6.3).
The base chance is the probability the opening lands on this skin at all, before its wear is rolled and before the 10% StatTrak roll (this skin is StatTrak-eligible). It is not the chance of a particular wear or a specific float.
| Wear | Chance, given this skin | Snapshot price | StatTrak price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 2.3% | $12.19 | $23.68 |
| Minimal Wear | 18.6% | $5.52 | $2.73 |
| Field-Tested | 53.5% | $1.24 | $1.44 |
| Well-Worn | 16.3% | $1.32 | $1.75 |
| Battle-Scarred | 9.3% | $1.03 | $1.68 |
Modeled wear chances assume uniform floats across the skin's range. They are not verified in-game wear rates; see the model assumptions and limitations. Prices are from a Steam Community Market snapshot dated Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC; a dash means no price in the snapshot.
Related skins
More MAG-7 skins · Best CS2 skins under $5 · Curious about the odds of pulling this? See Operation Vanguard Weapon Case odds & contents or open it in the simulator.