- Cost
- $80.82
- EV
- 91%
- $73.65
- Profit
- −$16.78
- after fee
- Win %
- 25%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.087 (needs < 0.087)4 outcomesActive market
Reverse trade-up finder
Trade up to M4A4 | Griffin
10 Mil-Spec Grade skins from the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case collection can become M4A4 | Griffin. Pick a wear to see every realistic route, its odds, cost and the input float it needs.
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026Steam Community Market averages · snapshot 2026-10-27 10:25 UTC
Factory New M4A4 | Griffin needs an average normalized input float below 0.0875 (output float 0.000–0.070). Best chance per contract: 25.0%.
- Cost
- $58.89
- EV
- 89%
- $52.39
- Profit
- −$13.34
- after fee
- Win %
- 35%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.087 (needs < 0.087)9 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $15.03
- EV
- 66%
- $9.86
- Profit
- −$6.45
- after fee
- Win %
- 8%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.087 (needs < 0.087)9 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $15.21
- EV
- 63%
- $9.63
- Profit
- −$6.84
- after fee
- Win %
- 8%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.084 (needs < 0.087)9 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $15.63
- EV
- 63%
- $9.86
- Profit
- −$7.05
- after fee
- Win %
- 8%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.087 (needs < 0.087)9 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $18.00
- EV
- 70%
- $12.52
- Profit
- −$7.11
- after fee
- Win %
- 8%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.087 (needs < 0.087)9 outcomesActive market
Required input float for each M4A4 | Griffin wear
| Wear | Output float | Avg normalized input float | Cheapest route | Best chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.000–0.070 | < 0.0875 | $15.03 | 25.0% |
| Minimal Wear | 0.070–0.150 | ≥ 0.0875 and < 0.1875 | no priced route | — |
| Field-Tested | 0.150–0.380 | ≥ 0.1875 and < 0.4750 | $2.01 | 10.0% |
| Well-Worn | 0.380–0.450 | ≥ 0.4750 and < 0.5625 | no priced route | — |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.450–0.800 | ≥ 0.5625 and any | $1.73 | 25.0% |
The average is over every input's float normalized to its own range. Output float = 0.00 + average × 0.80.
Other trade-up targets in this collection
How CS2 trade-up contracts work
Inputs & odds
10 skins of one rarity become 1 skin of the next rarity (Mil-Spec → Restricted → Classified → Covert). Since the October 2025 update, 5 Covert skins can become a knife or gloves from those skins' case. Each input collection gets its share of the odds (inputs from it ÷ total), split evenly across that collection's next-tier skins.
Float math
Every input float is normalized to its own skin's range — (float − min) ÷ (max − min) — and averaged. Each output's float is its min + average × (max − min), so a restricted-range skin like 0.10–0.20 can only land in the wears its range allows.
Prices, fees & freshness
Values are Steam Community Market averages from the snapshot dated on each page. Profit subtracts the ~13% Steam seller fee. StatTrak™ inputs give StatTrak™ outputs (knives only — gloves have no StatTrak™). Map collections outside weapon cases aren't in DropLabz's dataset yet.
Pick the skin you want in the reverse trade-up finder, check any contract in the trade-up calculator, or compare with opening cases on case ROI and knife odds.