M4A4 | Griffin
M4A4 | Griffin is a Restricted skin available from the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case.
What case is this from?
Trade up to M4A4 | Griffin
10 Mil-Spec Grade skins from the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case collection can produce it. See every route, its odds and the input float each wear needs.
Trade up from M4A4 | Griffin
10 Restricted skins, this one included, trade up into one Classified skin from the inputs' collections. From the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case, the possible outcomes are:
M4A4 | Griffin: drop odds, wear & source-case value
M4A4 | Griffin is one of 4 Restricted skins in the Operation Vanguard Weapon Case. The Operation Vanguard Weapon Case pays out Restricted tier 15.985% of the time (1 in 6.3), and DropLabz's model treats every skin in a tier as equally likely, so this skin's base chance is about 3.996% per opening (1 in 25.0).
The base chance is the probability the opening lands on this skin at all, before its wear is rolled and before the 10% StatTrak roll (this skin is StatTrak-eligible). It is not the chance of a particular wear or a specific float.
| Wear | Chance, given this skin | Snapshot price | StatTrak price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 8.8% | $198.45 | $71.12 |
| Minimal Wear | 10.0% | $18.48 | $21.21 |
| Field-Tested | 28.7% | $5.46 | $10.33 |
| Well-Worn | 8.8% | $6.50 | $13.29 |
| Battle-Scarred | 43.8% | $5.03 | $10.68 |
Modeled wear chances assume uniform floats across the skin's range. They are not verified in-game wear rates; see the model assumptions and limitations. Prices are from a Steam Community Market snapshot dated Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC; a dash means no price in the snapshot.
Related skins
More M4A4 skins · M4A4 skins under $10 · Best CS2 skins under $10 · Curious about the odds of pulling this? See Operation Vanguard Weapon Case odds & contents or open it in the simulator.