Highest chanceBest profit odds
FN3.3% chance· $255.06
Covert → Knife / Gloves
- Cost
- $1,107
- EV
- 56%
- $615.93
- Profit
- −$571.61
- after fee
- Win %
- 17%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.070 (needs < 0.070)30 outcomesSome thin prices
Knife finish
Flip Knife | Black Laminate: price, cases and trade-ups
The Flip Knife | Black Laminate starts at $164.86 on the Steam Market and drops from 2 cases, at best 1 in 11,730 per opening. It can also be made by trading up 5 Covert skins from one of those cases; the routes are below.
Price from
$164.86
StatTrak™ Well-Worn
Drops from
2 cases
Gamma 2 Case
Best drop odds
1 in 11,730
0.0085% per opening
Avg cost to unbox
$277,883.70
in the Gamma 2 Case
Flip Knife | Black Laminate price by wear
| Wear | Steam price | StatTrak™ price | Chance of this wear |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | $255.06 | — | 7.0% |
| Minimal Wear | $204.10 | $209.83 | 8.0% |
| Field-Tested | $185.52 | $177.69 | 23.0% |
| Well-Worn | $178.07 | $164.86 | 7.0% |
| Battle-Scarred | $179.98 | $169.80 | 55.0% |
Steam Community Market averages from the csgotrader.app steam.json (Steam Community Market) snapshot, market data updated Oct 27, 2026; a dash means no usable price. Chance of each wear is its share of the finish's float range, which is how a fresh drop's wear is rolled. Buying the cheapest one costs $164.86; unboxing this exact finish costs about $277,883.70 in openings on average.
Cases that drop the Flip Knife | Black Laminate
| Case | Chance of this finish | Finishes in pool | Open cost | Avg cost to unbox |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gamma 2 Case | 0.0085% · 1 in 11,730 | 30 | $23.69 | $277,883.70 |
| Gamma Case | 0.0085% · 1 in 11,730 | 30 | $23.95 | $280,933.50 |
The chance is the case's gold odds split evenly across every knife finish in its pool, before wear and the 10% StatTrak™ roll. Your chance over many openings is on the knife chance calculator; every case is compared on knife odds by case.
Trade up to the Flip Knife | Black Laminate
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026Steam Community Market averages · snapshot 2026-10-27 10:25 UTC
Factory New ★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate needs an average normalized input float below 0.0700 (output float 0.000–0.070). Best chance per contract: 3.3%.
- Cost
- $670.08
- EV
- 49%
- $328.22
- Profit
- −$384.67
- after fee
- Win %
- 10%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.070 (needs < 0.070)58 outcomesSome thin prices
- Cost
- $698.60
- EV
- 34%
- $236.93
- Profit
- −$492.57
- after fee
- Win %
- 5%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.070 (needs < 0.070)43 outcomesSome thin prices
- Cost
- $773.44
- EV
- 55%
- $425.36
- Profit
- −$403.56
- after fee
- Win %
- 11%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.070 (needs < 0.070)54 outcomesSome thin prices
- Cost
- $829.24
- EV
- 50%
- $414.98
- Profit
- −$468.39
- after fee
- Win %
- 15%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.070 (needs < 0.070)60 outcomesSome thin prices
- Cost
- $914.12
- EV
- 48%
- $437.33
- Profit
- −$533.84
- after fee
- Win %
- 10%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.070 (needs < 0.070)54 outcomesSome thin prices
Required input float for each ★ Flip Knife | Black Laminate wear
| Wear | Output float | Avg normalized input float | Cheapest route | Best chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.000–0.070 | < 0.0700 | $670.08 | 3.3% |
| Minimal Wear | 0.070–0.150 | ≥ 0.0700 and < 0.1500 | $369.03 | 3.3% |
| Field-Tested | 0.150–0.380 | ≥ 0.1500 and < 0.3800 | $319.89 | 3.3% |
| Well-Worn | 0.380–0.450 | ≥ 0.3800 and < 0.4500 | $286.77 | 3.3% |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.450–1.000 | ≥ 0.4500 and any | $271.26 | 3.3% |
The average is over every input's float normalized to its own range. Output float = 0.00 + average × 1.00.
Other trade-up targets in this collection
How CS2 trade-up contracts work
Inputs & odds
10 skins of one rarity become 1 skin of the next rarity (Mil-Spec → Restricted → Classified → Covert). Since the October 2025 update, 5 Covert skins can become a knife or gloves from those skins' case. Each input collection gets its share of the odds (inputs from it ÷ total), split evenly across that collection's next-tier skins.
Float math
Every input float is normalized to its own skin's range — (float − min) ÷ (max − min) — and averaged. Each output's float is its min + average × (max − min), so a restricted-range skin like 0.10–0.20 can only land in the wears its range allows.
Prices, fees & freshness
Values are Steam Community Market averages from the snapshot dated on each page. Profit subtracts the ~13% Steam seller fee. StatTrak™ inputs give StatTrak™ outputs (knives only — gloves have no StatTrak™). Map collections outside weapon cases aren't in DropLabz's dataset yet.
Pick the skin you want in the reverse trade-up finder, check any contract in the trade-up calculator, or compare with opening cases on case ROI and knife odds.