- Cost
- $478.71
- EV
- 69%
- $330.02
- Profit
- −$191.74
- after fee
- Win %
- 14%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.140 (needs < 0.140)56 outcomesActive market
Knife finish
Talon Knife | Damascus Steel: price, cases and trade-ups
The Talon Knife | Damascus Steel starts at $405.19 on the Steam Market and drops from 2 cases, at best 1 in 10,948 per opening. It can also be made by trading up 5 Covert skins from one of those cases; the routes are below.
Price from
$405.19
Well-Worn
Drops from
2 cases
Prisma 2 Case
Best drop odds
1 in 10,948
0.0091% per opening
Avg cost to unbox
$49,813.40
in the Prisma 2 Case
Talon Knife | Damascus Steel price by wear
| Wear | Steam price | StatTrak™ price | Chance of this wear |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | $539.18 | $475.00 | 14.0% |
| Minimal Wear | $515.27 | $589.27 | 16.0% |
| Field-Tested | $413.91 | $451.37 | 46.0% |
| Well-Worn | $405.19 | $446.40 | 14.0% |
| Battle-Scarred | $442.12 | $412.44 | 10.0% |
Steam Community Market averages from the csgotrader.app steam.json (Steam Community Market) snapshot, market data updated Oct 27, 2026; a dash means no usable price. Chance of each wear is its share of the finish's float range, which is how a fresh drop's wear is rolled. Buying the cheapest one costs $405.19; unboxing this exact finish costs about $49,813.40 in openings on average.
Cases that drop the Talon Knife | Damascus Steel
| Case | Chance of this finish | Finishes in pool | Open cost | Avg cost to unbox |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prisma 2 Case | 0.0091% · 1 in 10,948 | 28 | $4.55 | $49,813.40 |
| Prisma Case | 0.0091% · 1 in 10,948 | 28 | $18.21 | $199,363.08 |
The chance is the case's gold odds split evenly across every knife finish in its pool, before wear and the 10% StatTrak™ roll. Your chance over many openings is on the knife chance calculator; every case is compared on knife odds by case.
Trade up to the Talon Knife | Damascus Steel
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026Steam Community Market averages · snapshot 2026-10-27 10:25 UTC
Factory New ★ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel needs an average normalized input float below 0.1400 (output float 0.000–0.070). Best chance per contract: 3.6%.
- Cost
- $448.60
- EV
- 67%
- $301.38
- Profit
- −$186.53
- after fee
- Win %
- 15%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.140 (needs < 0.140)80 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $328.99
- EV
- 48%
- $158.58
- Profit
- −$191.10
- after fee
- Win %
- 7%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.140 (needs < 0.140)41 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $417.19
- EV
- 65%
- $272.15
- Profit
- −$180.54
- after fee
- Win %
- 17%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.140 (needs < 0.140)80 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $418.59
- EV
- 64%
- $266.13
- Profit
- −$187.17
- after fee
- Win %
- 15%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.140 (needs < 0.140)56 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $1,128
- EV
- 78%
- $876.36
- Profit
- −$365.54
- after fee
- Win %
- 25%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.132 (needs < 0.140)41 outcomesActive market
Required input float for each ★ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel wear
| Wear | Output float | Avg normalized input float | Cheapest route | Best chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.000–0.070 | < 0.1400 | $328.99 | 3.6% |
| Minimal Wear | 0.070–0.150 | ≥ 0.1400 and < 0.3000 | no priced route | — |
| Field-Tested | 0.150–0.380 | ≥ 0.3000 and < 0.7600 | $212.83 | 3.6% |
| Well-Worn | 0.380–0.450 | ≥ 0.7600 and < 0.9000 | no priced route | — |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.450–0.500 | ≥ 0.9000 and any | no priced route | — |
The average is over every input's float normalized to its own range. Output float = 0.00 + average × 0.50.
Other trade-up targets in this collection
★ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel★ Navaja Knife | Doppler★ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth★ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet★ Stiletto Knife | Damascus Steel★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler★ Stiletto Knife | Marble Fade★ Stiletto Knife | Rust Coat★ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth★ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet
How CS2 trade-up contracts work
Inputs & odds
10 skins of one rarity become 1 skin of the next rarity (Mil-Spec → Restricted → Classified → Covert). Since the October 2025 update, 5 Covert skins can become a knife or gloves from those skins' case. Each input collection gets its share of the odds (inputs from it ÷ total), split evenly across that collection's next-tier skins.
Float math
Every input float is normalized to its own skin's range — (float − min) ÷ (max − min) — and averaged. Each output's float is its min + average × (max − min), so a restricted-range skin like 0.10–0.20 can only land in the wears its range allows.
Prices, fees & freshness
Values are Steam Community Market averages from the snapshot dated on each page. Profit subtracts the ~13% Steam seller fee. StatTrak™ inputs give StatTrak™ outputs (knives only — gloves have no StatTrak™). Map collections outside weapon cases aren't in DropLabz's dataset yet.
Pick the skin you want in the reverse trade-up finder, check any contract in the trade-up calculator, or compare with opening cases on case ROI and knife odds.