Highest chanceCheapestBest EVBest profit odds
MW3.3% chance· $48.66
Restricted → Classified
- Cost
- $177.42
- EV
- 55%
- $96.92
- Profit
- −$93.14
- after fee
- Win %
- 23%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.019 (needs < 0.020)7 outcomesActive market
Reverse trade-up finder
Trade up to XM1014 | Incinegator
10 Restricted skins from the Prisma Case collection can become XM1014 | Incinegator. Pick a wear to see every realistic route, its odds, cost and the input float it needs.
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026Steam Community Market averages · snapshot 2026-10-27 10:25 UTC
Minimal Wear XM1014 | Incinegator needs an average normalized input float below 0.0196 (output float 0.140–0.150). Best chance per contract: 3.3%.
- Cost
- $888.96
- EV
- 15%
- $135.06
- Profit
- −$771.51
- after fee
- Win %
- 0%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.019 (needs < 0.020)6 outcomesThin / unstable prices
- Cost
- $1,031
- EV
- 6%
- $57.53
- Profit
- −$981.22
- after fee
- Win %
- 0%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.017 (needs < 0.020)6 outcomesActive market
Required input float for each XM1014 | Incinegator wear
| Wear | Output float | Avg normalized input float | Cheapest route | Best chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | Not possible — outside this skin's 0.14–0.65 float range | |||
| Minimal Wear | 0.140–0.150 | < 0.0196 | $177.42 | 3.3% |
| Field-Tested | 0.150–0.380 | ≥ 0.0196 and < 0.4706 | $5.44 | 33.3% |
| Well-Worn | 0.380–0.450 | ≥ 0.4706 and < 0.6078 | $5.86 | 33.3% |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.450–0.650 | ≥ 0.6078 and any | $5.23 | 33.3% |
The average is over every input's float normalized to its own range. Output float = 0.14 + average × 0.51.
Other trade-up targets in this collection
How CS2 trade-up contracts work
Inputs & odds
10 skins of one rarity become 1 skin of the next rarity (Mil-Spec → Restricted → Classified → Covert). Since the October 2025 update, 5 Covert skins can become a knife or gloves from those skins' case. Each input collection gets its share of the odds (inputs from it ÷ total), split evenly across that collection's next-tier skins.
Float math
Every input float is normalized to its own skin's range — (float − min) ÷ (max − min) — and averaged. Each output's float is its min + average × (max − min), so a restricted-range skin like 0.10–0.20 can only land in the wears its range allows.
Prices, fees & freshness
Values are Steam Community Market averages from the snapshot dated on each page. Profit subtracts the ~13% Steam seller fee. StatTrak™ inputs give StatTrak™ outputs (knives only — gloves have no StatTrak™). Map collections outside weapon cases aren't in DropLabz's dataset yet.
Pick the skin you want in the reverse trade-up finder, check any contract in the trade-up calculator, or compare with opening cases on case ROI and knife odds.