M4A4 | Bullet Rain
M4A4 | Bullet Rain is a Covert skin available from the eSports 2014 Summer Case.
What case is this from?
Trade up to M4A4 | Bullet Rain
10 Classified skins from the eSports 2014 Summer Case collection can produce it. See every route, its odds and the input float each wear needs.
Trade up from M4A4 | Bullet Rain
5 Covert skins, this one included, trade up into one knife or pair of gloves from the inputs' collections. From the eSports 2014 Summer Case, the possible knife and glove families are:
See every priced Covert → knife and glove contract in knife & glove trade-ups.
M4A4 | Bullet Rain: drop odds, wear & source-case value
M4A4 | Bullet Rain is one of 2 Covert skins in the eSports 2014 Summer Case. The eSports 2014 Summer Case pays out Covert tier 0.639% of the time (1 in 156), and DropLabz's model treats every skin in a tier as equally likely, so this skin's base chance is about 0.320% per opening (1 in 313).
The base chance is the probability the opening lands on this skin at all, before its wear is rolled and before the 10% StatTrak roll (this skin is StatTrak-eligible). It is not the chance of a particular wear or a specific float.
| Wear | Chance, given this skin | Snapshot price | StatTrak price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 11.4% | $326.98 | $279.88 |
| Minimal Wear | 18.2% | $106.23 | $163.60 |
| Field-Tested | 52.3% | $103.56 | $106.28 |
| Well-Worn | 15.9% | $124.48 | $87.83 |
| Battle-Scarred | 2.3% | $85.79 | — |
Modeled wear chances assume uniform floats across the skin's range. They are not verified in-game wear rates; see the model assumptions and limitations. Prices are from a Steam Community Market snapshot dated Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC; a dash means no price in the snapshot.
Related skins
More M4A4 skins · M4A4 skins under $100 · Best CS2 skins under $100 · Curious about the odds of pulling this? See eSports 2014 Summer Case odds & contents or open it in the simulator.