M9 Bayonet — CS2 finishes, cases and drop odds
The M9 Bayonet is a CS2 knife with 25 finishes, dropped as a rare-special (gold) item by 16 cases. The best odds are 0.051% per opening (1 in 1,955) in the Chroma 2 Case.
Cases that can contain a M9 Bayonet
16 CS2 cases contain the M9 Bayonet, listed below by the chance of pulling one from a single opening. The best odds are in the Chroma 2 Case at 0.0512% (1 in 1,955), where 6 of its 30 knife/glove finishes are M9 Bayonet finishes.
| Case | P(M9 Bayonet) | Finishes / pool | Open cost | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0.0512% · 1 in 1,955 | 6 / 30 | $21.44 | Open | |
| 0.0512% · 1 in 1,955 | 6 / 30 | $27.23 | Open | |
| 0.0512% · 1 in 1,955 | 6 / 30 | $22.55 | Open | |
| 0.0512% · 1 in 1,955 | 13 / 65 | $184.28 | Open | |
| 0.0512% · 1 in 1,955 | 13 / 65 | $44.84 | Open | |
| 0.0512% · 1 in 1,955 | 13 / 65 | $26.80 | Open | |
| 0.0512% · 1 in 1,955 | 13 / 65 | $83.96 | Open | |
| 0.0512% · 1 in 1,955 | 13 / 65 | $42.93 | Open | |
| 0.0512% · 1 in 1,955 | 13 / 65 | $36.05 | Open | |
| 0.0512% · 1 in 1,955 | 6 / 30 | $23.69 | Open | |
| 0.0512% · 1 in 1,955 | 6 / 30 | $23.95 | Open | |
| 0.0512% · 1 in 1,955 | 13 / 65 | $96.53 | Open | |
| 0.0512% · 1 in 1,955 | 13 / 65 | $21.95 | Open | |
| 0.0512% · 1 in 1,955 | 13 / 65 | $22.27 | Open | |
| 0.0512% · 1 in 1,955 | 13 / 65 | $17.18 | Open | |
| 0.0512% · 1 in 1,955 | 13 / 65 | $26.85 | Open |
Odds = the case's gold chance × M9 Bayonet finishes ÷ all knife/glove finishes in its pool, with every finish equally likely (Doppler phases share one finish, as in the game). They cover any M9 Bayonet finish, before wear and StatTrak. Open cost is the case + key from DropLabz's Steam market snapshot (market data updated Oct 27, 2026).
The cheapest case to chase a M9 Bayonet in is the Revolver Case: at $17.18 per opening and 1 in 1,955, that is about $33,586.90 of openings per M9 Bayonet on average, and a 5.0% chance of at least one in 100 openings.
M9 Bayonet price
The cheapest M9 Bayonet is the M9 Bayonet | Scorched in StatTrak™ Field-Tested condition, at $341.78 on the Steam Community Market (market data updated Oct 27, 2026). 25 of its finishes are priced in the snapshot. Compare it with every other type on cheapest CS2 knives.
Finishes (25)
Each linked finish opens its own page: Steam price by wear, the cases that drop it with the odds of that exact finish, and every trade-up route to it with the input float each wear needs.
Trade up to a M9 Bayonet
Since the October 2025 update, 5 Covert skins from a case can become one of its knives. 24 M9 Bayonet finishes can be targeted — pick one in the finish list above, or browse every Covert → knife contract.
Related knives
Work out your chance over any number of openings with the CS2 knife chance calculator, compare every case on CS2 knife odds by case, or see the cheapest cases for a knife. Back to all CS2 knife types.