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Mil-Spec Grade

Negev | Drop Me

Negev | Drop Me is a Mil-Spec Grade skin available from the Recoil Case.

Negev | Drop Me

What case is this from?

Weapon
Finish
Drop Me
Rarity
Mil-Spec Grade
StatTrak
Available
Float range
0.00 – 1.00

Trade up from Negev | Drop Me

10 Mil-Spec Grade skins, this one included, trade up into one Restricted skin from the inputs' collections. From the Recoil Case, the possible outcomes are:

Negev | Drop Me: drop odds, wear & source-case value

Negev | Drop Me is one of 7 Mil-Spec Grade skins in the Recoil Case. The Recoil Case pays out Mil-Spec Grade tier 79.923% of the time (1 in 1.3), and DropLabz's model treats every skin in a tier as equally likely, so this skin's base chance is about 11.418% per opening (1 in 8.8).

Base chance
11.418%
1 in 8.8 · before wear & StatTrak
Mil-Spec tier odds
79.923%
7 skins share it
Case open cost
$2.97
Recoil Case
Case modeled ROI
49.3%
EV $1.46 (−50.7%)

The base chance is the probability the opening lands on this skin at all, before its wear is rolled and before the 10% StatTrak roll (this skin is StatTrak-eligible). It is not the chance of a particular wear or a specific float.

Possible wears for float range 0.00 – 1.00
WearChance, given this skinSnapshot priceStatTrak price
Factory New7.0%$1.17$1.34
Minimal Wear8.0%$0.25$0.29
Field-Tested23.0%$0.12$0.13
Well-Worn7.0%$0.09$0.11
Battle-Scarred55.0%$0.10$0.11

Modeled wear chances assume uniform floats across the skin's range. They are not verified in-game wear rates; see the model assumptions and limitations. Prices are from a Steam Community Market snapshot dated Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC; a dash means no price in the snapshot.

More Negev skins · Best CS2 skins under $1 · Curious about the odds of pulling this? See Recoil Case odds & contents or open it in the simulator.