XM1014 | Mockingbird
XM1014 | Mockingbird is a Mil-Spec Grade skin available from the Fever Case.
What case is this from?
Trade up from XM1014 | Mockingbird
10 Mil-Spec Grade skins, this one included, trade up into one Restricted skin from the inputs' collections. From the Fever Case, the possible outcomes are:
XM1014 | Mockingbird: drop odds, wear & source-case value
XM1014 | Mockingbird is one of 7 Mil-Spec Grade skins in the Fever Case. The Fever Case pays out Mil-Spec Grade tier 79.923% of the time (1 in 1.3), and DropLabz's model treats every skin in a tier as equally likely, so this skin's base chance is about 11.418% per opening (1 in 8.8).
The base chance is the probability the opening lands on this skin at all, before its wear is rolled and before the 10% StatTrak roll (this skin is StatTrak-eligible). It is not the chance of a particular wear or a specific float.
| Wear | Chance, given this skin | Snapshot price | StatTrak price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 7.0% | $1.30 | $2.12 |
| Minimal Wear | 8.0% | $0.28 | $0.32 |
| Field-Tested | 23.0% | $0.12 | $0.13 |
| Well-Worn | 7.0% | $0.09 | $0.10 |
| Battle-Scarred | 55.0% | $0.09 | $0.10 |
Modeled wear chances assume uniform floats across the skin's range. They are not verified in-game wear rates; see the model assumptions and limitations. Prices are from a Steam Community Market snapshot dated Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC; a dash means no price in the snapshot.
Related skins
More XM1014 skins · Best CS2 skins under $1 · Curious about the odds of pulling this? See Fever Case odds & contents or open it in the simulator.