- Cost
- $58.30
- EV
- 42%
- $24.21
- Profit
- −$37.25
- after fee
- Win %
- 0%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.232 (needs < 0.233)3 outcomesActive market
Reverse trade-up finder
Trade up to Nova | Antique
10 Restricted skins from the Operation Phoenix Weapon Case collection can become Nova | Antique. Pick a wear to see every realistic route, its odds, cost and the input float it needs.
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026Steam Community Market averages · snapshot 2026-10-27 10:25 UTC
Factory New Nova | Antique needs an average normalized input float below 0.2333 (output float 0.000–0.070). Best chance per contract: 33.3%.
- Cost
- $11.24
- EV
- 66%
- $7.40
- Profit
- −$4.81
- after fee
- Win %
- 10%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.232 (needs < 0.233)6 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $11.69
- EV
- 73%
- $8.54
- Profit
- −$4.27
- after fee
- Win %
- 7%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.230 (needs < 0.233)6 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $12.47
- EV
- 83%
- $10.37
- Profit
- −$3.45
- after fee
- Win %
- 7%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.233 (needs < 0.233)6 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $12.86
- EV
- 65%
- $8.42
- Profit
- −$5.54
- after fee
- Win %
- 7%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.232 (needs < 0.233)6 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $37.53
- EV
- 82%
- $30.86
- Profit
- −$10.70
- after fee
- Win %
- 33%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.226 (needs < 0.233)6 outcomesActive market
Required input float for each Nova | Antique wear
| Wear | Output float | Avg normalized input float | Cheapest route | Best chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.000–0.070 | < 0.2333 | $11.24 | 33.3% |
| Minimal Wear | 0.070–0.150 | ≥ 0.2333 and < 0.5000 | $7.20 | 33.3% |
| Field-Tested | 0.150–0.300 | ≥ 0.5000 and any | $7.35 | 33.3% |
| Well-Worn | Not possible — outside this skin's 0.00–0.30 float range | |||
| Battle-Scarred | Not possible — outside this skin's 0.00–0.30 float range | |||
The average is over every input's float normalized to its own range. Output float = 0.00 + average × 0.30.
Other trade-up targets in this collection
How CS2 trade-up contracts work
Inputs & odds
10 skins of one rarity become 1 skin of the next rarity (Mil-Spec → Restricted → Classified → Covert). Since the October 2025 update, 5 Covert skins can become a knife or gloves from those skins' case. Each input collection gets its share of the odds (inputs from it ÷ total), split evenly across that collection's next-tier skins.
Float math
Every input float is normalized to its own skin's range — (float − min) ÷ (max − min) — and averaged. Each output's float is its min + average × (max − min), so a restricted-range skin like 0.10–0.20 can only land in the wears its range allows.
Prices, fees & freshness
Values are Steam Community Market averages from the snapshot dated on each page. Profit subtracts the ~13% Steam seller fee. StatTrak™ inputs give StatTrak™ outputs (knives only — gloves have no StatTrak™). Map collections outside weapon cases aren't in DropLabz's dataset yet.
Pick the skin you want in the reverse trade-up finder, check any contract in the trade-up calculator, or compare with opening cases on case ROI and knife odds.