- Cost
- $258.79
- EV
- 68%
- $175.99
- Profit
- −$105.76
- after fee
- Win %
- 15%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.422 (needs < 0.432)52 outcomesSome thin prices
Knife finish
Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh: price, cases and trade-ups
The Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh starts at $148.93 on the Steam Market and drops from 2 cases, at best 1 in 20,332 per opening. It can also be made by trading up 5 Covert skins from one of those cases; the routes are below.
Price from
$148.93
Battle-Scarred
Drops from
2 cases
Fracture Case
Best drop odds
1 in 20,332
0.0049% per opening
Avg cost to unbox
$66,688.96
in the Fracture Case
Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh price by wear
| Wear | Steam price | StatTrak™ price | Chance of this wear |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | $326.04 | — | 1.4% |
| Minimal Wear | $165.14 | $164.28 | 10.8% |
| Field-Tested | $163.94 | $157.01 | 31.1% |
| Well-Worn | $153.57 | $164.15 | 9.5% |
| Battle-Scarred | $148.93 | $150.53 | 47.3% |
Steam Community Market averages from the csgotrader.app steam.json (Steam Community Market) snapshot, market data updated Oct 27, 2026; a dash means no usable price. Chance of each wear is its share of the finish's float range, which is how a fresh drop's wear is rolled. Buying the cheapest one costs $148.93; unboxing this exact finish costs about $66,688.96 in openings on average.
Cases that drop the Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh
| Case | Chance of this finish | Finishes in pool | Open cost | Avg cost to unbox |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fracture Case | 0.0049% · 1 in 20,332 | 52 | $3.28 | $66,688.96 |
| Shattered Web Case | 0.0049% · 1 in 20,332 | 52 | $10.33 | $210,029.56 |
The chance is the case's gold odds split evenly across every knife finish in its pool, before wear and the 10% StatTrak™ roll. Your chance over many openings is on the knife chance calculator; every case is compared on knife odds by case.
Trade up to the Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026Steam Community Market averages · snapshot 2026-10-27 10:25 UTC
Field-Tested ★ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh needs an average normalized input float of at least 0.1216 and below 0.4324 (output float 0.150–0.380). Best chance per contract: 1.9%.
- Cost
- $204.87
- EV
- 60%
- $123.01
- Profit
- −$97.91
- after fee
- Win %
- 10%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.422 (needs < 0.432)65 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $231.94
- EV
- 84%
- $194.45
- Profit
- −$62.86
- after fee
- Win %
- 16%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.422 (needs < 0.432)76 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $240.18
- EV
- 81%
- $194.45
- Profit
- −$71.10
- after fee
- Win %
- 16%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.427 (needs < 0.432)76 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $242.31
- EV
- 80%
- $194.45
- Profit
- −$73.23
- after fee
- Win %
- 16%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.422 (needs < 0.432)76 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $1,465
- EV
- 62%
- $907.97
- Profit
- −$675.19
- after fee
- Win %
- 27%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.422 (needs < 0.432)76 outcomesThin / unstable prices
Required input float for each ★ Skeleton Knife | Safari Mesh wear
| Wear | Output float | Avg normalized input float | Cheapest route | Best chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.060–0.070 | < 0.0135 | no priced route | — |
| Minimal Wear | 0.070–0.150 | ≥ 0.0135 and < 0.1216 | no priced route | — |
| Field-Tested | 0.150–0.380 | ≥ 0.1216 and < 0.4324 | $204.87 | 1.9% |
| Well-Worn | 0.380–0.450 | ≥ 0.4324 and < 0.5270 | no priced route | — |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.450–0.800 | ≥ 0.5270 and any | $189.79 | 1.9% |
The average is over every input's float normalized to its own range. Output float = 0.06 + average × 0.74.
Other trade-up targets in this collection
★ Nomad Knife | Blue Steel★ Nomad Knife | Boreal Forest★ Nomad Knife | Case Hardened★ Nomad Knife | Crimson Web★ Nomad Knife | Fade★ Nomad Knife | Forest DDPAT★ Nomad Knife | Night Stripe★ Nomad Knife | Safari Mesh★ Nomad Knife | Scorched★ Nomad Knife | Slaughter★ Nomad Knife | Stained★ Nomad Knife | Urban Masked
How CS2 trade-up contracts work
Inputs & odds
10 skins of one rarity become 1 skin of the next rarity (Mil-Spec → Restricted → Classified → Covert). Since the October 2025 update, 5 Covert skins can become a knife or gloves from those skins' case. Each input collection gets its share of the odds (inputs from it ÷ total), split evenly across that collection's next-tier skins.
Float math
Every input float is normalized to its own skin's range — (float − min) ÷ (max − min) — and averaged. Each output's float is its min + average × (max − min), so a restricted-range skin like 0.10–0.20 can only land in the wears its range allows.
Prices, fees & freshness
Values are Steam Community Market averages from the snapshot dated on each page. Profit subtracts the ~13% Steam seller fee. StatTrak™ inputs give StatTrak™ outputs (knives only — gloves have no StatTrak™). Map collections outside weapon cases aren't in DropLabz's dataset yet.
Pick the skin you want in the reverse trade-up finder, check any contract in the trade-up calculator, or compare with opening cases on case ROI and knife odds.