- Cost
- $6.42
- EV
- 45%
- $2.90
- Profit
- −$3.89
- after fee
- Win %
- 0%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.174 (needs < 0.175)5 outcomesActive market
Reverse trade-up finder
Trade up to UMP-45 | Moonrise
10 Mil-Spec Grade skins from the Prisma Case collection can become UMP-45 | Moonrise. Pick a wear to see every realistic route, its odds, cost and the input float it needs.
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026Steam Community Market averages · snapshot 2026-10-27 10:25 UTC
Factory New UMP-45 | Moonrise needs an average normalized input float below 0.1750 (output float 0.000–0.070). Best chance per contract: 20.0%.
- Cost
- $99.04
- EV
- 60%
- $59.35
- Profit
- −$47.43
- after fee
- Win %
- 40%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.175 (needs < 0.175)8 outcomesSome thin prices
- Cost
- $2.49
- EV
- 42%
- $1.05
- Profit
- −$1.58
- after fee
- Win %
- 4%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.172 (needs < 0.175)10 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $2.53
- EV
- 47%
- $1.20
- Profit
- −$1.49
- after fee
- Win %
- 4%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.173 (needs < 0.175)10 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $2.54
- EV
- 51%
- $1.29
- Profit
- −$1.42
- after fee
- Win %
- 4%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.175 (needs < 0.175)10 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $2.56
- EV
- 47%
- $1.22
- Profit
- −$1.50
- after fee
- Win %
- 4%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.171 (needs < 0.175)10 outcomesActive market
Required input float for each UMP-45 | Moonrise wear
| Wear | Output float | Avg normalized input float | Cheapest route | Best chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.000–0.070 | < 0.1750 | $2.49 | 20.0% |
| Minimal Wear | 0.070–0.150 | ≥ 0.1750 and < 0.3750 | $2.51 | 10.0% |
| Field-Tested | 0.150–0.380 | ≥ 0.3750 and < 0.9500 | $1.03 | 20.0% |
| Well-Worn | 0.380–0.400 | ≥ 0.9500 and any | no priced route | — |
| Battle-Scarred | Not possible — outside this skin's 0.00–0.40 float range | |||
The average is over every input's float normalized to its own range. Output float = 0.00 + average × 0.40.
Other trade-up targets in this collection
How CS2 trade-up contracts work
Inputs & odds
10 skins of one rarity become 1 skin of the next rarity (Mil-Spec → Restricted → Classified → Covert). Since the October 2025 update, 5 Covert skins can become a knife or gloves from those skins' case. Each input collection gets its share of the odds (inputs from it ÷ total), split evenly across that collection's next-tier skins.
Float math
Every input float is normalized to its own skin's range — (float − min) ÷ (max − min) — and averaged. Each output's float is its min + average × (max − min), so a restricted-range skin like 0.10–0.20 can only land in the wears its range allows.
Prices, fees & freshness
Values are Steam Community Market averages from the snapshot dated on each page. Profit subtracts the ~13% Steam seller fee. StatTrak™ inputs give StatTrak™ outputs (knives only — gloves have no StatTrak™). Map collections outside weapon cases aren't in DropLabz's dataset yet.
Pick the skin you want in the reverse trade-up finder, check any contract in the trade-up calculator, or compare with opening cases on case ROI and knife odds.