M4A4 | Evil Daimyo
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo is a Restricted skin available from the Falchion Case.
What case is this from?
Trade up to M4A4 | Evil Daimyo
10 Mil-Spec Grade skins from the Falchion Case collection can produce it. See every route, its odds and the input float each wear needs.
Trade up from M4A4 | Evil Daimyo
10 Restricted skins, this one included, trade up into one Classified skin from the inputs' collections. From the Falchion Case, the possible outcomes are:
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo: drop odds, wear & source-case value
M4A4 | Evil Daimyo is one of 5 Restricted skins in the Falchion Case. The Falchion Case pays out Restricted tier 15.985% of the time (1 in 6.3), and DropLabz's model treats every skin in a tier as equally likely, so this skin's base chance is about 3.197% per opening (1 in 31.3).
The base chance is the probability the opening lands on this skin at all, before its wear is rolled and before the 10% StatTrak roll (this skin is StatTrak-eligible). It is not the chance of a particular wear or a specific float.
| Wear | Chance, given this skin | Snapshot price | StatTrak price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 13.5% | $17.96 | $38.16 |
| Minimal Wear | 15.4% | $7.84 | $15.93 |
| Field-Tested | 44.2% | $4.64 | $11.05 |
| Well-Worn | 13.5% | $4.57 | $12.09 |
| Battle-Scarred | 13.5% | $4.50 | $11.16 |
Modeled wear chances assume uniform floats across the skin's range. They are not verified in-game wear rates; see the model assumptions and limitations. Prices are from a Steam Community Market snapshot dated Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC; a dash means no price in the snapshot.
Related skins
More M4A4 skins · M4A4 skins under $5 · Best CS2 skins under $5 · Curious about the odds of pulling this? See Falchion Case odds & contents or open it in the simulator.