MAC-10 | Aloha
MAC-10 | Aloha is a Mil-Spec Grade skin available from the Operation Hydra Case.
What case is this from?
Trade up from MAC-10 | Aloha
10 Mil-Spec Grade skins, this one included, trade up into one Restricted skin from the inputs' collections. From the Operation Hydra Case, the possible outcomes are:
MAC-10 | Aloha: drop odds, wear & source-case value
MAC-10 | Aloha is one of 7 Mil-Spec Grade skins in the Operation Hydra Case. The Operation Hydra Case pays out Mil-Spec Grade tier 79.923% of the time (1 in 1.3), and DropLabz's model treats every skin in a tier as equally likely, so this skin's base chance is about 11.418% per opening (1 in 8.8).
The base chance is the probability the opening lands on this skin at all, before its wear is rolled and before the 10% StatTrak roll (this skin is StatTrak-eligible). It is not the chance of a particular wear or a specific float.
| Wear | Chance, given this skin | Snapshot price | StatTrak price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 10.8% | $13.64 | $13.27 |
| Minimal Wear | 12.3% | $9.00 | $8.61 |
| Field-Tested | 35.4% | $6.00 | $5.82 |
| Well-Worn | 10.8% | $3.96 | $7.36 |
| Battle-Scarred | 30.8% | $5.41 | $6.05 |
Modeled wear chances assume uniform floats across the skin's range. They are not verified in-game wear rates; see the model assumptions and limitations. Prices are from a Steam Community Market snapshot dated Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC; a dash means no price in the snapshot.
Related skins
More MAC-10 skins · MAC-10 skins under $5 · Best CS2 skins under $5 · Curious about the odds of pulling this? See Operation Hydra Case odds & contents or open it in the simulator.