Highest chanceCheapestBest EVBest profit odds
FN5.0% chance· $724.94
Restricted → Classified
- Cost
- $276.63
- EV
- 32%
- $88.90
- Profit
- −$199.33
- after fee
- Win %
- 5%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.065 (needs < 0.070)6 outcomesSome thin prices
Reverse trade-up finder
Trade up to AK-47 | Case Hardened
10 Restricted skins from the CS:GO Weapon Case collection can become AK-47 | Case Hardened. Pick a wear to see every realistic route, its odds, cost and the input float it needs.
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026Steam Community Market averages · snapshot 2026-10-27 10:25 UTC
Factory New AK-47 | Case Hardened needs an average normalized input float below 0.0700 (output float 0.000–0.070). Best chance per contract: 5.0%.
- Cost
- $339.63
- EV
- 25%
- $84.86
- Profit
- −$265.84
- after fee
- Win %
- 5%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.062 (needs < 0.070)5 outcomesSome thin prices
- Cost
- $727.94
- EV
- 14%
- $103.69
- Profit
- −$637.78
- after fee
- Win %
- 0%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.065 (needs < 0.070)5 outcomesSome thin prices
- Cost
- $879.69
- EV
- 27%
- $238.50
- Profit
- −$672.30
- after fee
- Win %
- 0%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.065 (needs < 0.070)5 outcomesSome thin prices
Required input float for each AK-47 | Case Hardened wear
| Wear | Output float | Avg normalized input float | Cheapest route | Best chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.000–0.070 | < 0.0700 | $276.63 | 5.0% |
| Minimal Wear | 0.070–0.150 | ≥ 0.0700 and < 0.1500 | no priced route | — |
| Field-Tested | 0.150–0.380 | ≥ 0.1500 and < 0.3800 | no priced route | — |
| Well-Worn | 0.380–0.450 | ≥ 0.3800 and < 0.4500 | no priced route | — |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.450–1.000 | ≥ 0.4500 and any | $157.73 | 50.0% |
The average is over every input's float normalized to its own range. Output float = 0.00 + average × 1.00.
Other trade-up targets in this collection
How CS2 trade-up contracts work
Inputs & odds
10 skins of one rarity become 1 skin of the next rarity (Mil-Spec → Restricted → Classified → Covert). Since the October 2025 update, 5 Covert skins can become a knife or gloves from those skins' case. Each input collection gets its share of the odds (inputs from it ÷ total), split evenly across that collection's next-tier skins.
Float math
Every input float is normalized to its own skin's range — (float − min) ÷ (max − min) — and averaged. Each output's float is its min + average × (max − min), so a restricted-range skin like 0.10–0.20 can only land in the wears its range allows.
Prices, fees & freshness
Values are Steam Community Market averages from the snapshot dated on each page. Profit subtracts the ~13% Steam seller fee. StatTrak™ inputs give StatTrak™ outputs (knives only — gloves have no StatTrak™). Map collections outside weapon cases aren't in DropLabz's dataset yet.
Pick the skin you want in the reverse trade-up finder, check any contract in the trade-up calculator, or compare with opening cases on case ROI and knife odds.