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Restricted

USP-S | Dark Water

USP-S | Dark Water is a Restricted skin available from the CS:GO Weapon Case.

USP-S | Dark Water

What case is this from?

Weapon
Finish
Dark Water
Rarity
Restricted
StatTrak
Available
Float range
0.10 – 0.26

Trade up to USP-S | Dark Water

10 Mil-Spec Grade skins from the CS:GO Weapon Case collection can produce it. See every route, its odds and the input float each wear needs.

Trade Up To This Skin

Trade up from USP-S | Dark Water

10 Restricted skins, this one included, trade up into one Classified skin from the inputs' collections. From the CS:GO Weapon Case, the possible outcomes are:

USP-S | Dark Water: drop odds, wear & source-case value

USP-S | Dark Water is one of 3 Restricted skins in the CS:GO Weapon Case. The CS:GO Weapon Case pays out Restricted tier 15.985% of the time (1 in 6.3), and DropLabz's model treats every skin in a tier as equally likely, so this skin's base chance is about 5.328% per opening (1 in 18.8).

Base chance
5.328%
1 in 18.8 · before wear & StatTrak
Restricted tier odds
15.985%
3 skins share it
Case open cost
$184.28
CS:GO Weapon Case
Case modeled ROI
29.7%
EV $54.70 (−70.3%)

The base chance is the probability the opening lands on this skin at all, before its wear is rolled and before the 10% StatTrak roll (this skin is StatTrak-eligible). It is not the chance of a particular wear or a specific float.

Possible wears for float range 0.10 – 0.26
WearChance, given this skinSnapshot priceStatTrak price
Minimal Wear31.2%$130.00$207.16
Field-Tested68.8%$102.07$139.97

Modeled wear chances assume uniform floats across the skin's range. They are not verified in-game wear rates; see the model assumptions and limitations. Prices are from a Steam Community Market snapshot dated Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC; a dash means no price in the snapshot.

More USP-S skins · USP-S skins under $250 · Best CS2 skins under $250 · Curious about the odds of pulling this? See CS:GO Weapon Case odds & contents or open it in the simulator.