AWP | Lightning Strike
AWP | Lightning Strike is a Covert skin available from the CS:GO Weapon Case.
What case is this from?
Trade up to AWP | Lightning Strike
10 Classified skins from the CS:GO Weapon Case collection can produce it. See every route, its odds and the input float each wear needs.
Trade up from AWP | Lightning Strike
5 Covert skins, this one included, trade up into one knife or pair of gloves from the inputs' collections. From the CS:GO Weapon Case, the possible knife and glove families are:
See every priced Covert → knife and glove contract in knife & glove trade-ups.
AWP | Lightning Strike: drop odds, wear & source-case value
AWP | Lightning Strike is one of 1 Covert skins in the CS:GO Weapon Case. The CS:GO Weapon Case pays out Covert tier 0.639% of the time (1 in 156), and DropLabz's model treats every skin in a tier as equally likely, so this skin's base chance is about 0.639% per opening (1 in 156).
The base chance is the probability the opening lands on this skin at all, before its wear is rolled and before the 10% StatTrak roll (this skin is StatTrak-eligible). It is not the chance of a particular wear or a specific float.
| Wear | Chance, given this skin | Snapshot price | StatTrak price |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 87.5% | $663.01 | $984.68 |
| Minimal Wear | 12.5% | $702.00 | — |
Modeled wear chances assume uniform floats across the skin's range. They are not verified in-game wear rates; see the model assumptions and limitations. Prices are from a Steam Community Market snapshot dated Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC; a dash means no price in the snapshot.
Related skins
More AWP skins · Curious about the odds of pulling this? See CS:GO Weapon Case odds & contents or open it in the simulator.