- Cost
- $533.82
- EV
- 70%
- $372.73
- Profit
- −$209.71
- after fee
- Win %
- 20%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.138 (needs < 0.146)30 outcomesActive market
Knife finish
Butterfly Knife | Freehand: price, cases and trade-ups
The Butterfly Knife | Freehand starts at $725.86 on the Steam Market and drops from 2 cases, at best 1 in 11,730 per opening. It can also be made by trading up 5 Covert skins from one of those cases; the routes are below.
Rare Special ItemFloat range 0.00–0.48Dreams & Nightmares CaseOperation Riptide CaseAll Butterfly Knife finishes
Price from
$725.86
Battle-Scarred
Drops from
2 cases
Dreams & Nightmares Case
Best drop odds
1 in 11,730
0.0085% per opening
Avg cost to unbox
$50,908.20
in the Dreams & Nightmares Case
Butterfly Knife | Freehand price by wear
| Wear | Steam price | StatTrak™ price | Chance of this wear |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | $1,047.68 | $963.83 | 14.6% |
| Minimal Wear | $900.93 | $950.00 | 16.7% |
| Field-Tested | $848.49 | $849.91 | 47.9% |
| Well-Worn | $812.75 | — | 14.6% |
| Battle-Scarred | $725.86 | — | 6.2% |
Steam Community Market averages from the csgotrader.app steam.json (Steam Community Market) snapshot, market data updated Oct 27, 2026; a dash means no usable price. Chance of each wear is its share of the finish's float range, which is how a fresh drop's wear is rolled. Buying the cheapest one costs $725.86; unboxing this exact finish costs about $50,908.20 in openings on average.
Cases that drop the Butterfly Knife | Freehand
| Case | Chance of this finish | Finishes in pool | Open cost | Avg cost to unbox |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dreams & Nightmares Case | 0.0085% · 1 in 11,730 | 30 | $4.34 | $50,908.20 |
| Operation Riptide Case | 0.0085% · 1 in 11,730 | 30 | $17.32 | $203,163.60 |
The chance is the case's gold odds split evenly across every knife finish in its pool, before wear and the 10% StatTrak™ roll. Your chance over many openings is on the knife chance calculator; every case is compared on knife odds by case.
Trade up to the Butterfly Knife | Freehand
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026Steam Community Market averages · snapshot 2026-10-27 10:25 UTC
Factory New ★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand needs an average normalized input float below 0.1458 (output float 0.000–0.070). Best chance per contract: 3.3%.
- Cost
- $482.12
- EV
- 70%
- $335.55
- Profit
- −$190.34
- after fee
- Win %
- 17%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.140 (needs < 0.146)82 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $556.14
- EV
- 77%
- $429.46
- Profit
- −$182.70
- after fee
- Win %
- 23%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.144 (needs < 0.146)95 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $690.78
- EV
- 76%
- $526.36
- Profit
- −$233.07
- after fee
- Win %
- 28%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.138 (needs < 0.146)60 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $350.58
- EV
- 48%
- $167.12
- Profit
- −$205.26
- after fee
- Win %
- 4%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.138 (needs < 0.146)43 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $420.51
- EV
- 66%
- $279.64
- Profit
- −$177.35
- after fee
- Win %
- 15%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.145 (needs < 0.146)82 outcomesActive market
Required input float for each ★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand wear
| Wear | Output float | Avg normalized input float | Cheapest route | Best chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.000–0.070 | < 0.1458 | $350.58 | 3.3% |
| Minimal Wear | 0.070–0.150 | ≥ 0.1458 and < 0.3125 | no priced route | — |
| Field-Tested | 0.150–0.380 | ≥ 0.3125 and < 0.7917 | $225.97 | 3.3% |
| Well-Worn | 0.380–0.450 | ≥ 0.7917 and < 0.9375 | no priced route | — |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.450–0.480 | ≥ 0.9375 and any | no priced route | — |
The average is over every input's float normalized to its own range. Output float = 0.00 + average × 0.48.
Other trade-up targets in this collection
★ Bowie Knife | Autotronic★ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate★ Bowie Knife | Bright Water★ Bowie Knife | Freehand★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler★ Bowie Knife | Lore★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler★ Butterfly Knife | Lore★ Falchion Knife | Autotronic
How CS2 trade-up contracts work
Inputs & odds
10 skins of one rarity become 1 skin of the next rarity (Mil-Spec → Restricted → Classified → Covert). Since the October 2025 update, 5 Covert skins can become a knife or gloves from those skins' case. Each input collection gets its share of the odds (inputs from it ÷ total), split evenly across that collection's next-tier skins.
Float math
Every input float is normalized to its own skin's range — (float − min) ÷ (max − min) — and averaged. Each output's float is its min + average × (max − min), so a restricted-range skin like 0.10–0.20 can only land in the wears its range allows.
Prices, fees & freshness
Values are Steam Community Market averages from the snapshot dated on each page. Profit subtracts the ~13% Steam seller fee. StatTrak™ inputs give StatTrak™ outputs (knives only — gloves have no StatTrak™). Map collections outside weapon cases aren't in DropLabz's dataset yet.
Pick the skin you want in the reverse trade-up finder, check any contract in the trade-up calculator, or compare with opening cases on case ROI and knife odds.