- Cost
- $224.74
- EV
- 67%
- $150.47
- Profit
- −$93.90
- after fee
- Win %
- 15%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.422 (needs < 0.432)13 outcomesActive market
Knife finish
Falchion Knife | Night: price, cases and trade-ups
The Falchion Knife | Night starts at $91.86 on the Steam Market and drops from 1 case, at best 1 in 5,083 per opening. It can also be made by trading up 5 Covert skins from that case; the routes are below.
Price from
$91.86
Field-Tested
Drops from
1 case
Falchion Case
Best drop odds
1 in 5,083
0.0197% per opening
Avg cost to unbox
$97,542.77
in the Falchion Case
Falchion Knife | Night price by wear
| Wear | Steam price | StatTrak™ price | Chance of this wear |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | — | — | 1.4% |
| Minimal Wear | $129.25 | $151.67 | 10.8% |
| Field-Tested | $91.86 | $134.90 | 31.1% |
| Well-Worn | $99.55 | $119.76 | 9.5% |
| Battle-Scarred | $96.72 | $126.09 | 47.3% |
Steam Community Market averages from the csgotrader.app steam.json (Steam Community Market) snapshot, market data updated Oct 27, 2026; a dash means no usable price. Chance of each wear is its share of the finish's float range, which is how a fresh drop's wear is rolled. Buying the cheapest one costs $91.86; unboxing this exact finish costs about $97,542.77 in openings on average.
Cases that drop the Falchion Knife | Night
| Case | Chance of this finish | Finishes in pool | Open cost | Avg cost to unbox |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Falchion Case | 0.0197% · 1 in 5,083 | 13 | $19.19 | $97,542.77 |
The chance is the case's gold odds split evenly across every knife finish in its pool, before wear and the 10% StatTrak™ roll. Your chance over many openings is on the knife chance calculator; every case is compared on knife odds by case.
Trade up to the Falchion Knife | Night
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026Steam Community Market averages · snapshot 2026-10-27 10:25 UTC
Field-Tested ★ Falchion Knife | Night needs an average normalized input float of at least 0.1216 and below 0.4324 (output float 0.150–0.380). Best chance per contract: 7.7%.
- Cost
- $605.94
- EV
- 82%
- $496.86
- Profit
- −$173.89
- after fee
- Win %
- 28%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.428 (needs < 0.432)26 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $198.63
- EV
- 59%
- $117.90
- Profit
- −$96.11
- after fee
- Win %
- 11%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.422 (needs < 0.432)26 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $225.70
- EV
- 84%
- $189.34
- Profit
- −$61.05
- after fee
- Win %
- 16%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.422 (needs < 0.432)37 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $236.07
- EV
- 80%
- $189.34
- Profit
- −$71.42
- after fee
- Win %
- 15%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.422 (needs < 0.432)37 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $276.80
- EV
- 82%
- $227.01
- Profit
- −$79.40
- after fee
- Win %
- 17%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.394 (needs < 0.432)41 outcomesActive market
Required input float for each ★ Falchion Knife | Night wear
| Wear | Output float | Avg normalized input float | Cheapest route | Best chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.060–0.070 | < 0.0135 | no priced route | — |
| Minimal Wear | 0.070–0.150 | ≥ 0.0135 and < 0.1216 | no priced route | — |
| Field-Tested | 0.150–0.380 | ≥ 0.1216 and < 0.4324 | $198.63 | 7.7% |
| Well-Worn | 0.380–0.450 | ≥ 0.4324 and < 0.5270 | no priced route | — |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.450–0.800 | ≥ 0.5270 and any | no priced route | — |
The average is over every input's float normalized to its own range. Output float = 0.06 + average × 0.74.
Other trade-up targets in this collection
★ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel★ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened★ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web★ Falchion Knife | Fade★ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT★ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh★ Falchion Knife | Scorched★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter★ Falchion Knife | Stained★ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked
How CS2 trade-up contracts work
Inputs & odds
10 skins of one rarity become 1 skin of the next rarity (Mil-Spec → Restricted → Classified → Covert). Since the October 2025 update, 5 Covert skins can become a knife or gloves from those skins' case. Each input collection gets its share of the odds (inputs from it ÷ total), split evenly across that collection's next-tier skins.
Float math
Every input float is normalized to its own skin's range — (float − min) ÷ (max − min) — and averaged. Each output's float is its min + average × (max − min), so a restricted-range skin like 0.10–0.20 can only land in the wears its range allows.
Prices, fees & freshness
Values are Steam Community Market averages from the snapshot dated on each page. Profit subtracts the ~13% Steam seller fee. StatTrak™ inputs give StatTrak™ outputs (knives only — gloves have no StatTrak™). Map collections outside weapon cases aren't in DropLabz's dataset yet.
Pick the skin you want in the reverse trade-up finder, check any contract in the trade-up calculator, or compare with opening cases on case ROI and knife odds.