- Cost
- $418.48
- EV
- 60%
- $250.16
- Profit
- −$200.95
- after fee
- Win %
- 14%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.134 (needs < 0.140)28 outcomesActive market
Knife finish
Survival Knife | Damascus Steel: price, cases and trade-ups
The Survival Knife | Damascus Steel starts at $78.56 on the Steam Market and drops from 1 case, at best 1 in 10,948 per opening. It can also be made by trading up 5 Covert skins from that case; the routes are below.
Price from
$78.56
Battle-Scarred
Drops from
1 case
Fever Case
Best drop odds
1 in 10,948
0.0091% per opening
Avg cost to unbox
$37,113.72
in the Fever Case
Survival Knife | Damascus Steel price by wear
| Wear | Steam price | StatTrak™ price | Chance of this wear |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | $96.70 | $122.38 | 14.0% |
| Minimal Wear | $93.76 | $97.29 | 16.0% |
| Field-Tested | $88.98 | $87.81 | 46.0% |
| Well-Worn | $86.70 | $89.09 | 14.0% |
| Battle-Scarred | $78.56 | $92.75 | 10.0% |
Steam Community Market averages from the csgotrader.app steam.json (Steam Community Market) snapshot, market data updated Oct 27, 2026; a dash means no usable price. Chance of each wear is its share of the finish's float range, which is how a fresh drop's wear is rolled. Buying the cheapest one costs $78.56; unboxing this exact finish costs about $37,113.72 in openings on average.
Cases that drop the Survival Knife | Damascus Steel
| Case | Chance of this finish | Finishes in pool | Open cost | Avg cost to unbox |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fever Case | 0.0091% · 1 in 10,948 | 28 | $3.39 | $37,113.72 |
The chance is the case's gold odds split evenly across every knife finish in its pool, before wear and the 10% StatTrak™ roll. Your chance over many openings is on the knife chance calculator; every case is compared on knife odds by case.
Trade up to the Survival Knife | Damascus Steel
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026Steam Community Market averages · snapshot 2026-10-27 10:25 UTC
Factory New ★ Survival Knife | Damascus Steel needs an average normalized input float below 0.1400 (output float 0.000–0.070). Best chance per contract: 3.6%.
- Cost
- $388.48
- EV
- 61%
- $237.49
- Profit
- −$181.96
- after fee
- Win %
- 13%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.140 (needs < 0.140)80 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $418.59
- EV
- 64%
- $266.13
- Profit
- −$187.17
- after fee
- Win %
- 15%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.140 (needs < 0.140)56 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $328.88
- EV
- 43%
- $142.61
- Profit
- −$204.87
- after fee
- Win %
- 3%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.134 (needs < 0.140)41 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $417.08
- EV
- 61%
- $256.18
- Profit
- −$194.32
- after fee
- Win %
- 15%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.134 (needs < 0.140)80 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $1,127
- EV
- 76%
- $860.39
- Profit
- −$379.31
- after fee
- Win %
- 25%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.126 (needs < 0.140)41 outcomesActive market
Required input float for each ★ Survival Knife | Damascus Steel wear
| Wear | Output float | Avg normalized input float | Cheapest route | Best chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.000–0.070 | < 0.1400 | $328.88 | 3.6% |
| Minimal Wear | 0.070–0.150 | ≥ 0.1400 and < 0.3000 | no priced route | — |
| Field-Tested | 0.150–0.380 | ≥ 0.3000 and < 0.7600 | $203.46 | 3.6% |
| Well-Worn | 0.380–0.450 | ≥ 0.7600 and < 0.9000 | no priced route | — |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.450–0.500 | ≥ 0.9000 and any | no priced route | — |
The average is over every input's float normalized to its own range. Output float = 0.00 + average × 0.50.
Other trade-up targets in this collection
★ Nomad Knife | Damascus Steel★ Nomad Knife | Doppler★ Nomad Knife | Marble Fade★ Nomad Knife | Rust Coat★ Nomad Knife | Tiger Tooth★ Nomad Knife | Ultraviolet★ Paracord Knife | Damascus Steel★ Paracord Knife | Doppler★ Paracord Knife | Marble Fade★ Paracord Knife | Rust Coat★ Paracord Knife | Tiger Tooth★ Paracord Knife | Ultraviolet
How CS2 trade-up contracts work
Inputs & odds
10 skins of one rarity become 1 skin of the next rarity (Mil-Spec → Restricted → Classified → Covert). Since the October 2025 update, 5 Covert skins can become a knife or gloves from those skins' case. Each input collection gets its share of the odds (inputs from it ÷ total), split evenly across that collection's next-tier skins.
Float math
Every input float is normalized to its own skin's range — (float − min) ÷ (max − min) — and averaged. Each output's float is its min + average × (max − min), so a restricted-range skin like 0.10–0.20 can only land in the wears its range allows.
Prices, fees & freshness
Values are Steam Community Market averages from the snapshot dated on each page. Profit subtracts the ~13% Steam seller fee. StatTrak™ inputs give StatTrak™ outputs (knives only — gloves have no StatTrak™). Map collections outside weapon cases aren't in DropLabz's dataset yet.
Pick the skin you want in the reverse trade-up finder, check any contract in the trade-up calculator, or compare with opening cases on case ROI and knife odds.