- Cost
- $8.38
- EV
- 29%
- $2.41
- Profit
- −$6.29
- after fee
- Win %
- 0%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.126 (needs < 0.127)5 outcomesActive market
Reverse trade-up finder
Trade up to UMP-45 | Exposure
10 Mil-Spec Grade skins from the Spectrum 2 Case collection can become UMP-45 | Exposure. Pick a wear to see every realistic route, its odds, cost and the input float it needs.
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026Steam Community Market averages · snapshot 2026-10-27 10:25 UTC
Factory New UMP-45 | Exposure needs an average normalized input float below 0.1273 (output float 0.000–0.070). Best chance per contract: 20.0%.
- Cost
- $7.05
- EV
- 67%
- $4.75
- Profit
- −$2.92
- after fee
- Win %
- 16%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.127 (needs < 0.127)10 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $62.68
- EV
- 59%
- $37.25
- Profit
- −$30.29
- after fee
- Win %
- 40%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.126 (needs < 0.127)7 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $4.22
- EV
- 34%
- $1.44
- Profit
- −$2.97
- after fee
- Win %
- 0%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.127 (needs < 0.127)10 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $4.23
- EV
- 36%
- $1.50
- Profit
- −$2.92
- after fee
- Win %
- 0%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.127 (needs < 0.127)10 outcomesActive market
- Cost
- $8.42
- EV
- 95%
- $8.03
- Profit
- −$1.43
- after fee
- Win %
- 18%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.121 (needs < 0.127)10 outcomesActive market
Required input float for each UMP-45 | Exposure wear
| Wear | Output float | Avg normalized input float | Cheapest route | Best chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.000–0.070 | < 0.1273 | $4.22 | 20.0% |
| Minimal Wear | 0.070–0.150 | ≥ 0.1273 and < 0.2727 | no priced route | — |
| Field-Tested | 0.150–0.380 | ≥ 0.2727 and < 0.6909 | $0.82 | 20.0% |
| Well-Worn | 0.380–0.450 | ≥ 0.6909 and < 0.8182 | no priced route | — |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.450–0.550 | ≥ 0.8182 and any | $1.85 | 20.0% |
The average is over every input's float normalized to its own range. Output float = 0.00 + average × 0.55.
Other trade-up targets in this collection
How CS2 trade-up contracts work
Inputs & odds
10 skins of one rarity become 1 skin of the next rarity (Mil-Spec → Restricted → Classified → Covert). Since the October 2025 update, 5 Covert skins can become a knife or gloves from those skins' case. Each input collection gets its share of the odds (inputs from it ÷ total), split evenly across that collection's next-tier skins.
Float math
Every input float is normalized to its own skin's range — (float − min) ÷ (max − min) — and averaged. Each output's float is its min + average × (max − min), so a restricted-range skin like 0.10–0.20 can only land in the wears its range allows.
Prices, fees & freshness
Values are Steam Community Market averages from the snapshot dated on each page. Profit subtracts the ~13% Steam seller fee. StatTrak™ inputs give StatTrak™ outputs (knives only — gloves have no StatTrak™). Map collections outside weapon cases aren't in DropLabz's dataset yet.
Pick the skin you want in the reverse trade-up finder, check any contract in the trade-up calculator, or compare with opening cases on case ROI and knife odds.