- Cost
- $1,847
- EV
- 6%
- $105.44
- Profit
- −$1,756
- after fee
- Win %
- 0%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.070 (needs < 0.070)13 outcomesSome thin prices
Knife finish
Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel: price, cases and trade-ups
The Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel starts at $69.40 on the Steam Market and drops from 1 case, at best 1 in 5,083 per opening. It can also be made by trading up 5 Covert skins from that case; the routes are below.
Price from
$69.40
Battle-Scarred
Drops from
1 case
Shadow Case
Best drop odds
1 in 5,083
0.0197% per opening
Avg cost to unbox
$88,596.69
in the Shadow Case
Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel price by wear
| Wear | Steam price | StatTrak™ price | Chance of this wear |
|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | — | $247.17 | 7.0% |
| Minimal Wear | $94.21 | $137.14 | 8.0% |
| Field-Tested | $77.34 | $109.77 | 23.0% |
| Well-Worn | $70.00 | $97.65 | 7.0% |
| Battle-Scarred | $69.40 | $109.07 | 55.0% |
Steam Community Market averages from the csgotrader.app steam.json (Steam Community Market) snapshot, market data updated Oct 27, 2026; a dash means no usable price. Chance of each wear is its share of the finish's float range, which is how a fresh drop's wear is rolled. Buying the cheapest one costs $69.40; unboxing this exact finish costs about $88,596.69 in openings on average.
Cases that drop the Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel
| Case | Chance of this finish | Finishes in pool | Open cost | Avg cost to unbox |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shadow Case | 0.0197% · 1 in 5,083 | 13 | $17.43 | $88,596.69 |
The chance is the case's gold odds split evenly across every knife finish in its pool, before wear and the 10% StatTrak™ roll. Your chance over many openings is on the knife chance calculator; every case is compared on knife odds by case.
Trade up to the Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel
Prices as of Oct 27, 2026Steam Community Market averages · snapshot 2026-10-27 10:25 UTC
Factory New ★ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel needs an average normalized input float below 0.0700 (output float 0.000–0.070). Best chance per contract: 7.7%.
- Cost
- $818.13
- EV
- 28%
- $226.12
- Profit
- −$621.50
- after fee
- Win %
- 0%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.070 (needs < 0.070)41 outcomesSome thin prices
- Cost
- $846.65
- EV
- 16%
- $134.84
- Profit
- −$729.40
- after fee
- Win %
- 0%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.070 (needs < 0.070)26 outcomesSome thin prices
- Cost
- $921.49
- EV
- 35%
- $323.26
- Profit
- −$640.40
- after fee
- Win %
- 7%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.070 (needs < 0.070)37 outcomesSome thin prices
- Cost
- $977.29
- EV
- 32%
- $312.88
- Profit
- −$705.22
- after fee
- Win %
- 8%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.070 (needs < 0.070)43 outcomesSome thin prices
- Cost
- $1,255
- EV
- 41%
- $513.83
- Profit
- −$808.44
- after fee
- Win %
- 11%
- to profit
Avg float ≤ 0.070 (needs < 0.070)43 outcomesSome thin prices
Required input float for each ★ Shadow Daggers | Blue Steel wear
| Wear | Output float | Avg normalized input float | Cheapest route | Best chance |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Factory New | 0.000–0.070 | < 0.0700 | $818.13 | 7.7% |
| Minimal Wear | 0.070–0.150 | ≥ 0.0700 and < 0.1500 | $363.31 | 7.7% |
| Field-Tested | 0.150–0.380 | ≥ 0.1500 and < 0.3800 | $253.91 | 7.7% |
| Well-Worn | 0.380–0.450 | ≥ 0.3800 and < 0.4500 | $223.64 | 7.7% |
| Battle-Scarred | 0.450–1.000 | ≥ 0.4500 and any | $210.39 | 7.7% |
The average is over every input's float normalized to its own range. Output float = 0.00 + average × 1.00.
Other trade-up targets in this collection
★ Shadow Daggers | Boreal Forest★ Shadow Daggers | Case Hardened★ Shadow Daggers | Crimson Web★ Shadow Daggers | Fade★ Shadow Daggers | Forest DDPAT★ Shadow Daggers | Night★ Shadow Daggers | Safari Mesh★ Shadow Daggers | Scorched★ Shadow Daggers | Slaughter★ Shadow Daggers | Stained★ Shadow Daggers | Urban Masked
How CS2 trade-up contracts work
Inputs & odds
10 skins of one rarity become 1 skin of the next rarity (Mil-Spec → Restricted → Classified → Covert). Since the October 2025 update, 5 Covert skins can become a knife or gloves from those skins' case. Each input collection gets its share of the odds (inputs from it ÷ total), split evenly across that collection's next-tier skins.
Float math
Every input float is normalized to its own skin's range — (float − min) ÷ (max − min) — and averaged. Each output's float is its min + average × (max − min), so a restricted-range skin like 0.10–0.20 can only land in the wears its range allows.
Prices, fees & freshness
Values are Steam Community Market averages from the snapshot dated on each page. Profit subtracts the ~13% Steam seller fee. StatTrak™ inputs give StatTrak™ outputs (knives only — gloves have no StatTrak™). Map collections outside weapon cases aren't in DropLabz's dataset yet.
Pick the skin you want in the reverse trade-up finder, check any contract in the trade-up calculator, or compare with opening cases on case ROI and knife odds.