Simulator only — no real items are won. Prices are a cached Steam snapshot from Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC and may be stale or missing for thin markets.
Rarity odds
Expected value
Assumptions
- Open cost = case price + key price (key not marketable → $2.50 store price).
- Skins within a tier are equally likely; StatTrak is an independent 10% roll.
- P(wear) = share of the skin's float range inside each wear band.
- Unpriced outcomes (2%) are excluded from the EV.
- Values are Steam Community Market snapshot prices, not net of market fees.
Rare special item pool
0.256% combined24 finishes share the 0.256% rare-special slot — roughly 1 in 9,384 for any single one. Doppler phases split their finish's share (phase odds are a community estimate; Valve never published them).
Covert
0.639% · 2 skins
Classified
3.197% · 3 skins
Restricted
15.985% · 5 skins
Mil-Spec Grade
79.92% · 7 skins
Operation Broken Fang Case at a glance
The Operation Broken Fang Case was released on 2020-10-14. One opening costs $12.03 ($9.53 for the case plus $2.50 for the key, the in-game store price since the key has no market listing), which ranks 11 of 42 cases from cheapest to most expensive. Its modeled expected return is $5.98 per opening, a modeled ROI of 49.7% (6 of 42 by ROI). That is an average over many openings, not a prediction for any single one.
Gloves: Broken Fang Gloves (4 finishes), Driver Gloves (4 finishes), Hand Wraps (4 finishes), Moto Gloves (4 finishes), Specialist Gloves (4 finishes), Sport Gloves (4 finishes)
Each knife/glove finish is equally likely within the gold tier: about 0.0107% per opening (1 in 9,384) for any one specific finish (Doppler phases share their finish's odds).
Prices from a Steam Community Market snapshot dated Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC, not a live feed. Odds assume DropLabz's rarity model with equal weighting inside each tier.
Most valuable skins in the Operation Broken Fang Case
| Skin | Rarity | Chance per opening | Steam price by wear |
|---|---|---|---|
| M4A1-S | Printstream | Covert | 0.320% · 1 in 313 | $210.05 – $662.59 |
| Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale | Classified | 1.066% · 1 in 93.8 | $34.49 – $442.65 |
| Glock-18 | Neo-Noir | Covert | 0.320% · 1 in 313 | $41.43 – $321.00 |
| M4A4 | Cyber Security | Classified | 1.066% · 1 in 93.8 | $23.29 – $200.40 |
| USP-S | Monster Mashup | Classified | 1.066% · 1 in 93.8 | $28.39 – $160.87 |
| AWP | Exoskeleton | Restricted | 3.197% · 1 in 31.3 | $5.70 – $72.00 |
| Galil AR | Vandal | Mil-Spec Grade | 11.418% · 1 in 8.8 | $0.73 – $38.59 |
| Dual Berettas | Dezastre | Restricted | 3.197% · 1 in 31.3 | $3.35 – $26.98 |
The 8 priciest of the case's 17 weapon skins, by their best non-StatTrak™ wear. The range runs from the cheapest wear to the most expensive; every skin and its odds are listed above.
Operation Broken Fang Case gloves: cheapest and most expensive
Cheapest gloves
- Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Companyfrom $58.37
- Hand Wraps | Desert Shamaghfrom $59.56
- Hand Wraps | Giraffefrom $61.47
- Hand Wraps | Constrictorfrom $62.28
- Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-bandedfrom $63.79
- Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguarfrom $65.96
Most expensive gloves
- Sport Gloves | Noctsfrom $598.81
- Driver Gloves | Snow Leopardfrom $302.33
- Sport Gloves | Slingshotfrom $267.45
- Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamaghfrom $231.64
- Sport Gloves | Big Gamefrom $163.87
- Hand Wraps | CAUTION!from $153.85
Each of the 24 finishes has the same 1 in 9,384 chance per opening. Prices are each finish's lowest Steam Market listing; a + marks the Steam listing cap, where the real price is higher.
Operation Broken Fang Case glove odds after N openings
| Cases opened | At least one glove | One specific finish | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 2.5% | 0.11% | $120.30 |
| 50 | 12.0% | 0.53% | $601.50 |
| 100 | 22.6% | 1.06% | $1,203.00 |
| 250 | 47.3% | 2.63% | $3,007.50 |
| 500 | 72.2% | 5.19% | $6,015.00 |
| 1,000 | 92.3% | 10.11% | $12,030.00 |
0.256% per opening, so 1 − (1 − 0.00256)N after N. A 50% chance takes 271 openings and a 90% chance takes 900 (about $3,260.13 and $10,827.00 at today's $12.03 per opening).
Operation Broken Fang Case: odds, cost and value
What are the glove odds in the Operation Broken Fang Case?
What are the drop rates in the Operation Broken Fang Case?
How much does it cost to open the Operation Broken Fang Case?
Is the Operation Broken Fang Case worth opening?
What is the best item in the Operation Broken Fang Case?
Trade up to Operation Broken Fang Case skins
Every skin below can be the result of a trade-up using this case's collection — see the routes, odds and input floats for each.
- ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade
- ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point
- ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged
- ★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded
- ★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie
- ★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar
- ★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red
- ★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard
- ★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!
- ★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor
- ★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh
- ★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe
- ★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company
- ★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure
- ★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line
- ★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out
- ★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent
- ★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander
- ★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade
- ★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike
- ★ Sport Gloves | Big Game
- ★ Sport Gloves | Nocts
- ★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh
- ★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot
- Glock-18 | Neo-Noir
- M4A1-S | Printstream
- Five-SeveN | Fairy Tale
- M4A4 | Cyber Security
- USP-S | Monster Mashup
- AWP | Exoskeleton
- Dual Berettas | Dezastre
- Nova | Clear Polymer
- SSG 08 | Parallax
- UMP-45 | Gold Bismuth
