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Ursus Knife — CS2 finishes, cases and drop odds

The Ursus Knife is a CS2 knife with 19 finishes, dropped as a rare-special (gold) item by 4 cases. The best odds are 0.064% per opening (1 in 1,564) in the Danger Zone Case.

Ursus Knife | Doppler Sapphire

Cases that can contain a Ursus Knife

4 CS2 cases contain the Ursus Knife, listed below by the chance of pulling one from a single opening. The best odds are in the Danger Zone Case at 0.0639% (1 in 1,564), where 13 of its 52 knife/glove finishes are Ursus Knife finishes.

CaseP(Ursus Knife)Finishes / poolOpen cost
Danger Zone Case0.0639% · 1 in 1,56413 / 52$22.53Open
Horizon Case0.0639% · 1 in 1,56413 / 52$18.14Open
Prisma 2 Case0.0639% · 1 in 1,5647 / 28$4.55Open
Prisma Case0.0639% · 1 in 1,5647 / 28$18.21Open

Odds = the case's gold chance × Ursus Knife finishes ÷ all knife/glove finishes in its pool, with every finish equally likely (Doppler phases share one finish, as in the game). They cover any Ursus Knife finish, before wear and StatTrak. Open cost is the case + key from DropLabz's Steam market snapshot (market data updated Oct 27, 2026).

The cheapest case to chase a Ursus Knife in is the Prisma 2 Case: at $4.55 per opening and 1 in 1,564, that is about $7,116.20 of openings per Ursus Knife on average, and a 6.2% chance of at least one in 100 openings.

Ursus Knife price

The cheapest Ursus Knife is the Ursus Knife | Boreal Forest in Well-Worn condition, at $55.38 on the Steam Community Market (market data updated Oct 27, 2026). 19 of its finishes are priced in the snapshot. Compare it with every other type on cheapest CS2 knives.

Trade up to a Ursus Knife

Since the October 2025 update, 5 Covert skins from a case can become one of its knives. 18 Ursus Knife finishes can be targeted — pick one in the finish list above, or browse every Covert → knife contract.

Knife & glove trade-ups

Work out your chance over any number of openings with the CS2 knife chance calculator, compare every case on CS2 knife odds by case, or see the cheapest cases for a knife. Back to all CS2 knife types.