Simulator only — no real items are won. Prices are a cached Steam snapshot from Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC and may be stale or missing for thin markets.
Rarity odds
Expected value
Assumptions
- Open cost = case price + key price.
- Skins within a tier are equally likely; StatTrak is an independent 10% roll.
- P(wear) = share of the skin's float range inside each wear band.
- Unpriced outcomes (17%) are excluded from the EV.
- Values are Steam Community Market snapshot prices, not net of market fees.
Rare special item pool
0.256% combined24 finishes share the 0.256% rare-special slot — roughly 1 in 9,384 for any single one. Doppler phases split their finish's share (phase odds are a community estimate; Valve never published them).
Covert
0.639% · 2 skinsClassified
3.197% · 3 skinsRestricted
15.985% · 5 skinsMil-Spec Grade
79.92% · 7 skinsGlove Case at a glance
The Glove Case was released on 2016-11-02. One opening costs $38.69 ($18.47 for the case plus $20.22 for the key), which ranks 35 of 42 cases from cheapest to most expensive. Its modeled expected return is $10.00 per opening, a modeled ROI of 25.8% (21 of 42 by ROI). That is an average over many openings, not a prediction for any single one.
Gloves: Bloodhound Gloves (4 finishes), Driver Gloves (4 finishes), Hand Wraps (4 finishes), Moto Gloves (4 finishes), Specialist Gloves (4 finishes), Sport Gloves (4 finishes)
Each knife/glove finish is equally likely within the gold tier: about 0.0107% per opening (1 in 9,384) for any one specific finish (Doppler phases share their finish's odds).
Prices from a Steam Community Market snapshot dated Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC, not a live feed. Odds assume DropLabz's rarity model with equal weighting inside each tier.
Most valuable skins in the Glove Case
| Skin | Rarity | Chance per opening | Steam price by wear |
|---|---|---|---|
| M4A4 | Buzz Kill | Covert | 0.320% · 1 in 313 | $118.48 – $819.32 |
| SSG 08 | Dragonfire | Covert | 0.320% · 1 in 313 | $298.94 – $529.27 |
| FAMAS | Mecha Industries | Classified | 1.066% · 1 in 93.8 | $30.50 – $223.94 |
| M4A1-S | Flashback | Restricted | 3.197% · 1 in 31.3 | $4.25 – $217.75 |
| USP-S | Cyrex | Restricted | 3.197% · 1 in 31.3 | $4.71 – $96.85 |
| Glock-18 | Ironwork | Mil-Spec Grade | 11.418% · 1 in 8.8 | $0.73 – $93.97 |
| Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess | Classified | 1.066% · 1 in 93.8 | $38.97 – $84.04 |
| P90 | Shallow Grave | Classified | 1.066% · 1 in 93.8 | $38.14 – $75.67 |
The 8 priciest of the case's 17 weapon skins, by their best non-StatTrak™ wear. The range runs from the cheapest wear to the most expensive; every skin and its odds are listed above.
Glove Case gloves: cheapest and most expensive
Cheapest gloves
- Driver Gloves | Convoyfrom $82.66
- Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebitefrom $93.98
- Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzedfrom $94.19
- Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrillafrom $102.45
- Moto Gloves | Boom!from $109.77
- Moto Gloves | Eclipsefrom $118.30
Most expensive gloves
- Sport Gloves | Hedge Mazefrom $1,874+
- Sport Gloves | Pandora's Boxfrom $1,849+
- Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimonofrom $1,774+
- Sport Gloves | Superconductorfrom $1,287.58
- Specialist Gloves | Emerald Webfrom $506.58
- Moto Gloves | Spearmintfrom $491.56
Each of the 24 finishes has the same 1 in 9,384 chance per opening. Prices are each finish's lowest Steam Market listing; a + marks the Steam listing cap, where the real price is higher.
Glove Case glove odds after N openings
| Cases opened | At least one glove | One specific finish | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 2.5% | 0.11% | $386.90 |
| 50 | 12.0% | 0.53% | $1,934.50 |
| 100 | 22.6% | 1.06% | $3,869.00 |
| 250 | 47.3% | 2.63% | $9,672.50 |
| 500 | 72.2% | 5.19% | $19,345.00 |
| 1,000 | 92.3% | 10.11% | $38,690.00 |
0.256% per opening, so 1 − (1 − 0.00256)N after N. A 50% chance takes 271 openings and a 90% chance takes 900 (about $10,484.99 and $34,821.00 at today's $38.69 per opening).
Glove Case: odds, cost and value
What are the glove odds in the Glove Case?
What are the drop rates in the Glove Case?
How much does it cost to open the Glove Case?
Is the Glove Case worth opening?
What is the best item in the Glove Case?
Trade up to Glove Case skins
Every skin below can be the result of a trade-up using this case's collection — see the routes, odds and input floats for each.
- ★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed
- ★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred
- ★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla
- ★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite
- ★ Driver Gloves | Convoy
- ★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave
- ★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback
- ★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave
- ★ Hand Wraps | Badlands
- ★ Hand Wraps | Leather
- ★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter
- ★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT
- ★ Moto Gloves | Boom!
- ★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint
- ★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse
- ★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint
- ★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono
- ★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web
- ★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT
- ★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation
- ★ Sport Gloves | Arid
- ★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze
- ★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box
- ★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor
- M4A4 | Buzz Kill
- SSG 08 | Dragonfire
- FAMAS | Mecha Industries
- P90 | Shallow Grave
- Sawed-Off | Wasteland Princess
- Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts
- G3SG1 | Stinger
- M4A1-S | Flashback
- Nova | Gila
- USP-S | Cyrex