Simulator only — no real items are won. Prices are a cached Steam snapshot from Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC and may be stale or missing for thin markets.
Rarity odds
Expected value
Assumptions
- Open cost = case price + key price.
- Skins within a tier are equally likely; StatTrak is an independent 10% roll.
- P(wear) = share of the skin's float range inside each wear band.
- Unpriced outcomes (3%) are excluded from the EV.
- Values are Steam Community Market snapshot prices, not net of market fees.
Rare special item pool
0.256% combined13 finishes share the 0.256% rare-special slot — roughly 1 in 5,083 for any single one. Doppler phases split their finish's share (phase odds are a community estimate; Valve never published them).
Covert
0.639% · 2 skinsClassified
3.197% · 3 skinsRestricted
15.985% · 4 skinsMil-Spec Grade
79.92% · 6 skinsHuntsman Weapon Case at a glance
The Huntsman Weapon Case was released on 2014-06-11. One opening costs $27.48 ($12.53 for the case plus $14.95 for the key), which ranks 33 of 42 cases from cheapest to most expensive. Its modeled expected return is $7.05 per opening, a modeled ROI of 25.7% (22 of 42 by ROI). That is an average over many openings, not a prediction for any single one.
Knives: Huntsman Knife (13 finishes)
Each knife/glove finish is equally likely within the gold tier: about 0.0197% per opening (1 in 5,083) for any one specific finish (Doppler phases share their finish's odds).
Prices from a Steam Community Market snapshot dated Oct 27, 2026, 10:25 AM UTC, not a live feed. Odds assume DropLabz's rarity model with equal weighting inside each tier.
Most valuable skins in the Huntsman Weapon Case
| Skin | Rarity | Chance per opening | Steam price by wear |
|---|---|---|---|
| AK-47 | Vulcan | Covert | 0.320% · 1 in 313 | $152.72 – $870.33 |
| M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy | Classified | 1.066% · 1 in 93.8 | $32.70 – $219.38 |
| M4A4 | Desert-Strike | Covert | 0.320% · 1 in 313 | $40.98 – $132.66 |
| USP-S | Caiman | Classified | 1.066% · 1 in 93.8 | $34.47 – $103.08 |
| SCAR-20 | Cyrex | Classified | 1.066% · 1 in 93.8 | $33.08 – $57.98 |
| Tec-9 | Isaac | Mil-Spec Grade | 13.321% · 1 in 7.5 | $3.32 – $38.55 |
| P2000 | Pulse | Mil-Spec Grade | 13.321% · 1 in 7.5 | $1.33 – $20.62 |
| MAC-10 | Tatter | Restricted | 3.996% · 1 in 25.0 | $6.27 – $18.64 |
The 8 priciest of the case's 15 weapon skins, by their best non-StatTrak™ wear. The range runs from the cheapest wear to the most expensive; every skin and its odds are listed above.
Huntsman Weapon Case knives: cheapest and most expensive
Cheapest knives
- Huntsman Knife | Scorchedfrom $58.96
- Huntsman Knife | Safari Meshfrom $66.69
- Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forestfrom $74.88
- Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPATfrom $80.34
- Huntsman Knife | Urban Maskedfrom $82.20
- Huntsman Knife | Nightfrom $99.14
Most expensive knives
- Huntsman Knife | Fadefrom $353.96
- Huntsman Knife | Slaughterfrom $297.76
- Huntsman Knife | Case Hardenedfrom $226.22
- Huntsman Knifefrom $187.25
- Huntsman Knife | Blue Steelfrom $135.10
- Huntsman Knife | Crimson Webfrom $134.37
Each of the 13 finishes has the same 1 in 5,083 chance per opening. Prices are each finish's lowest Steam Market listing; a + marks the Steam listing cap, where the real price is higher.
Huntsman Weapon Case knife odds after N openings
| Cases opened | At least one knife | One specific finish | Cost |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | 2.5% | 0.20% | $274.80 |
| 50 | 12.0% | 0.98% | $1,374.00 |
| 100 | 22.6% | 1.95% | $2,748.00 |
| 250 | 47.3% | 4.80% | $6,870.00 |
| 500 | 72.2% | 9.37% | $13,740.00 |
| 1,000 | 92.3% | 17.86% | $27,480.00 |
0.256% per opening, so 1 − (1 − 0.00256)N after N. A 50% chance takes 271 openings and a 90% chance takes 900 (about $7,447.08 and $24,732.00 at today's $27.48 per opening).
Huntsman Weapon Case: odds, cost and value
What are the knife odds in the Huntsman Weapon Case?
What are the drop rates in the Huntsman Weapon Case?
How much does it cost to open the Huntsman Weapon Case?
Is the Huntsman Weapon Case worth opening?
What is the best item in the Huntsman Weapon Case?
Trade up to Huntsman Weapon Case skins
Every skin below can be the result of a trade-up using this case's collection — see the routes, odds and input floats for each.
- ★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel
- ★ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest
- ★ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened
- ★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web
- ★ Huntsman Knife | Fade
- ★ Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPAT
- ★ Huntsman Knife | Night
- ★ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh
- ★ Huntsman Knife | Scorched
- ★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter
- ★ Huntsman Knife | Stained
- ★ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked
- AK-47 | Vulcan
- M4A4 | Desert-Strike
- M4A1-S | Atomic Alloy
- SCAR-20 | Cyrex
- USP-S | Caiman
- AUG | Torque
- MAC-10 | Tatter
- PP-Bizon | Antique
- XM1014 | Heaven Guard